Landslide susceptibility maps are valuable sources for disaster mitigation works and future investments of local authorities in unstable hazard-prone areas. However, there are limitations and uncertainties inherent in landslide susceptibility assessment. For this purpose, many methods have been suggested and applied in the literature, which are generally categorized as bivariate and multivariate. Here, in this paper, the most popular and widely used multivariate [support vector regression (SVR), logistic regression (LR) and decision tree (DT)] and bivariate methods [frequency ratio (FR), weight of evidence (WOE) and statistical index (SI)] were compared with respect to their performances in landslide susceptibility modeling problem. Duzkoy district of Trabzon Province was selected due to its unique topographical and lithological characteristics, magnifying shallow landslide risk potential. Slope, lithology, land cover, aspect, normalized difference vegetation index, soil thickness, drainage density, topographical wetness index and elevation were employed as landslide occurrence factors. Accuracy measures based on confusion matrix (i.e., overall accuracy and Kappa coefficient) and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve were employed to compare the performances of the methods. Furthermore, McNemar's test was employed to analyze the statistical significance of differences in method performances. The results indicated that multivariate approaches (i.e., SVR, LR and DT) outperformed the bivariate methods (i.e., FR, SI and WOE) by about 13 %. Within the multivariate approaches, SVR method performed the best with the highest accuracy, while FR method was the most effective and accurate bivariate method. Interpretation of AUC values and the McNemar's statistical test results revealed that the SVR method was superior in modeling landslide susceptibility compared with the other multivariate and bivariate methods.
Coastline mapping and coastline change detection are critical issues for safe navigation, coastal resource management, coastal environmental protection, and sustainable coastal development and planning. Changes in the shape of coastline may fundamentally affect the environment of the coastal zone. This may be caused by natural processes and/or human activities. Over the past 30 years, the coastal sites in Turkey have been under an intensive restraint associated with a population press due to the internal and external touristic demand. In addition, urbanization on the filled up areas, settlements, and the highways constructed to overcome the traffic problems and the other applications in the coastal region clearly confirm an intensive restraint. Aerial photos with medium spatial resolution and high resolution satellite imagery are ideal data sources for mapping coastal land use and monitoring their changes for a large area. This study introduces an efficient method to monitor coastline and coastal land use changes using time series aerial photos (1973 and 2002) and satellite imagery (2005) covering the same geographical area. Results show the effectiveness of the use of digital photogrammetry and remote sensing data on monitoring large area of coastal land use status. This study also showed that over 161 ha areas were filled up in the research area and along the coastal land 12.2 ha of coastal erosion is determined for the period of 1973 to 2005. Consequently, monitoring of coastal land use is thus necessary for coastal area planning in order to protecting the coastal areas from climate changes and other coastal processes.
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