We compared the marine survival of Carlin-tagged wild and hatchery-reared Atlantic salmon smolts of the Simojoki river, northern Baltic Sea. All the reared and released smolts were the offspring of native spawners returning to the river. Reared smolts were adipose-fin-clipped and released from the hatchery several weeks before tagging. The wild and reared smolts were simultaneously caught and tagged at a smolt trap located at the Simojoki river mouth. The study was conducted in two years, 1991 and 1993, when post-smolt survival in the Baltic Sea was different. Tags were returned by fishermen and return rates were used to estimate the survival of the smolt groups. We applied generalized linear models with survival as response variable and the year, origin, and smolt size as explanatory variables. On average, wild smolts had a 4.5 times higher survival rate than reared fish of the same smolt size. The difference in observed tag recovery rates as such was only about twofold or less, as the larger size of the reared smolts compared with the wild ones compensated for their lower survival rate. The better survival of wild than reared smolts was more pronounced in the low-survival year (1993 smolt year class) than in the high-survival year (1991 smolt year class).

Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar L.) stocks in the Baltic Sea are mainly exploited during their sea migration. The offshore fishery in the feeding grounds of these salmon permitted us to analyse the migrations of certain stocks on the basis of tag recovery data. Four salmon stocks from rivers draining into Bothnian Bay (25°E, 65.5°N) were selected for study. During 1984-1991, about 135 000 2-year-old hatchery-reared smolts were tagged and released. We applied logit models, with the site of recovery as a multicategory response variable, to analyse the distribution of tag recoveries in the Baltic Sea feeding grounds. The results showed the combined influence of stock, prey abundance, and smolt size on the spatial marine distribution of the salmon. Although stock-specific sea migration patterns were apparent, annual environmental factors had a stronger influence on the sea migration route of salmon than did the stock factor. The salmon released as small smolts (total length [Formula: see text] 17.0 cm) were more frequently caught farther from the release site than were those released as larger smolts (>17 cm). The abundance of suitable prey (age 0+ herring) in the year of smolt release was found to be a key factor influencing the migration distance. The salmon released in the years of strong herring recruitment in the Gulf of Bothnia had a higher probability to stay in the Bothnian Sea for feeding and not to migrate farther south.

The recapture rate and survival of hatchery-reared Atlantic salmon Salmo salar stocked as 1 year-old parr (semi-wild) with that of hatchery-reared Atlantic salmon stocked as 2 year-old smolts and wild smolts of Atlantic salmon in the northern Baltic Sea were compared. This was done through tagging experiments carried out in 1986-1988 and 1992. The recapture rate of the semi-wild groups varied from 1Á0 to 13Á1%, being similar in 3 tagging years and lower in 1 year than that of the wild groups (1Á7-17Á0%). The recapture rate of the semi-wild groups was similar (in 2 years) or higher (in 2 years) than that of the hatchery-reared groups stocked as smolts (1Á3-6Á3%). The survival of semi-wild smolts during the sea migration was as high as that of wild Atlantic salmon of an equal size and two to three times higher than hatchery-reared Atlantic salmon stocked as smolts. The survival rate was positively associated with smolt size. The suitability of hatchery-reared parr and smolts in the management of reduced Atlantic salmon stocks is compared.

The survival of Atlantic salmon Salmo salar in the Baltic Sea was examined in relation to smolt traits (length and origin) and annual environmental factors [sea surface temperature (SST) and seasonal North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index], and prey fish abundance (herring Clupea harengus and sprat Sprattus sprattus) in the main basin and the southern Gulf of Bothnia. The study was based on recapture data for Carlin-tagged hatchery-reared and wild smolts from the Simojoki, a river flowing into the northern Gulf of Bothnia. The survival of the wild and reared groups was analysed using an ANOVA model and a stepwise regression model, with the arcsintransformed proportion of recaptured fish as the response variable. The results demonstrated a combined influence of smolt traits and environmental factors on survival. For the reared Atlantic salmon released in 1986-1998 (28 groups), the increasing annual mean SST in July in the southern Gulf of Bothnia and increasing mean smolt size improved survival. If the SST in July was excluded from the model, the NAO index in May to July also had a positive effect on survival (P < 0Á10). The log 10 -transformed abundance of 0þ year herring in the southern Gulf of Bothnia entered the model (P < 0Á15) if the SST and NAO index were excluded. For the wild Atlantic salmon released in 1972-1993 (21 groups), only the increasing SST in July showed a significant association with improved survival (P ¼ 0Á004). Prey fish abundance in the main basin of the Baltic Sea had no influence on the survival of reared or wild smolt groups. The interaction between smolt size and the SST in July was not significant. The origin was a better, but not a significant, predictor of marine survival compared to the smolt size or the SST in July. The mean recapture rate of the wild groups was twice that of the reared groups in the whole data. The results suggest that cold summers in the Gulf of Bothnia reduce the survival of young Atlantic salmon in both wild and reared groups. The larger smolt size of the reared groups compared with the wild groups to some extent compensated for their lower ability to live in the wild. # 2004 The Fisheries Society of the British Isles

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