ABSTRACT:What we do is determined by the way we "view" a complex issue and what sample of issues or events we choose to deal with. In this paper, a model based on a communal, cultural, or people-centered worldview, informed by a subjective epistemology and a holistic ontology, is considered. Definitions and interpretations of sustainable agriculture are reviewed. Common elements in published definitions of sustainable agriculture and animal production among those who seek long-term and equitable solutions for food production are resource efficiency, profitability, productivity, environmental soundness, biodiversity, social viability, and ethical aspects. Possible characteristics of future sustainable production systems and further development are presented. The impact of these characteristics on animal breeding goals is reviewed. The need for long-term biologically, ecologically, and sociologi-
A comparison of linear (LM), threshold (TM), and Poisson (PM) mixed models for genetic analysis of number of lambs born (NLB) from 1-yr-old ewes was conducted using 37,718 and 18,633 records of two Norwegian breeds, Dala and Spaelsau, respectively. Models fitted included flock-year as a fixed effect and the random effect of sire. In the Poisson model, the residual variation was assumed to be Poisson, whereas it was normal in LM and multinomial in TM. The models were compared with respect to goodness of fit, predictive ability, and ranking of sires. Goodness of fit and predictive ability were assessed via the mean squared error and the correlation between observed NLB and fitted (predicted) values. Predictive ability was evaluated by estimating effects of sire and flock-year using a random half of the data and then using these estimates to predict records on the other half of the data. The heritability of NLB for Dala was estimated to be .20, .39, and .08 with LM, TM, and PM, respectively. For Spaelsau, corresponding estimates were .12, .26, and .00, respectively. In the PM, problems of low or zero estimates of sire variances were encountered. Hence, an alternative sire variance (PM-L) was approximated from the heritability estimated on the outward scale by REML. All models performed similarly with respect to goodness of fit, predictive ability, and ranking of sires. The TM was very slightly better for both breeds, but the PM and PM-L seemed clearly poorer than TM and LM. An approximate test rejected the hypothesis that the conditional distribution of NLB was Poisson.
The annual production from global aquaculture has increased rapidly from 2.6 million tons or 3.9% of the total supply of fish, shellfish and mollusks in 1970, to 66.7 million tons or 42.2% in 2012, while capture fisheries have more or less leveled out at about 90 million tons per year since the turn of the century. Consequently, the future seafood supply is likely to depend on a further increase of aquaculture production. Unlike terrestrial animal farming, less than 10% of the aquaculture production comes from domesticated and selectively bred farm stocks. This situation has substantial consequences in terms of poorer resource efficiency, poorer product quality and poorer animal welfare. The history of biological and technical challenges when establishing selective breeding programs for aquaculture is discussed, and it is concluded that most aquaculture species may now be domesticated and improved by selection. However, the adoption of selective breeding in aquaculture is progressing slowly. This paper reports on a study carried out in 2012 to identify key issues to address in promoting the development of genetically improved aquaculture stocks. The study involved semi structured interviews of 34 respondents from different sectors of the aquaculture society in East and Southeast Asia, where 76% of the global aquaculture production is located. Based on the interviews and literature review, three key factors are identified: (i) long-term public commitment is often needed for financial
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