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Objective: To determine 30 day mortality, long term survival, and recurrent cardiac events after coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) in a population. Design: Follow up study of patients prospectively entered on to a cardiothoracic surgical database. Record linkages were used to obtain data on readmissions and deaths. Patients: 8910 patients undergoing isolated first CABG between 1980 and 1993 in Western Australia. Main outcome measures: 30 day and long term survival, readmission for cardiac event (acute myocardial infarction, unstable angina, percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty or reoperative CABG). Results: There were 3072 deaths to mid 1999. 30 day and long term survival were significantly better in patients treated in the first five years than during the following decade. The age of the patients, proportion of female patients, and number of grafts increased over time. An urgent procedure (odds ratio 3.3), older age (9% per year) and female sex (odds ratio 1.5) were associated with increased risk for 30 day mortality, while age (7% per year) and a recent myocardial infarction (odds ratio 1.16) influenced long term survival. Internal mammary artery grafts were followed by better short and long term survival, though there was an obvious selection bias in favour of younger male patients. Conclusions: This study shows worsening crude mortality at 30 days after CABG from the mid 1980s, associated with the inclusion of higher risk patients. Older age, an acute myocardial infarction in the year before surgery, and the use of sephenous vein grafts only were associated with poorer long term survival and greater risk of a recurrent cardiac event. Female sex predicted recurrent events but not long term survival.

To describe trends in the use of coronary artery revascularisation procedures (CARPs) and to determine whether or when CARP rates will stabilise. Setting: State of Western Australia. Patients: All patients treated by coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) or percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) between 1980 and 2001. Design: Descriptive study. Main outcome measures: Age standardised rates of first and total CARPs, CABGs, and PCIs. Results: Overall rates for both total and first CARPs among men and women rose steeply from 1980 to 1993, when they abruptly stabilised or actually started to decline. Rates in age groups under 65 years tended to rise earlier in the period and remained relatively flat, while rates for people over the age of 75 years started to rise later and were still increasing at the end of the study. Conclusions: Despite continuing increases in capacity to perform both CABG and PCI in Western Australia and evidence of continuing increases in the use of CARPs in the elderly population, rates appear to have stabilised for the first time since they were introduced.

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