Objective To assess whether screening for abdominal aortic aneurysms in men reduces mortality. Design Population based randomised controlled trial of ultrasound screening, with intention to treat analysis of age standardised mortality. Setting Community based screening programme in Western Australia. Participants 41 000 men aged 65-83 years randomised to intervention and control groups. Intervention Invitation to ultrasound screening. Main outcome measure Deaths from abdominal aortic aneurysm in the five years after the start of screening. Results The corrected response to invitation to screening was 70%. The crude prevalence was 7.2% for aortic diameter ≥ 30 mm and 0.5% for diameter ≥ 55 mm. Twice as many men in the intervention group than in the control group underwent elective surgery for abdominal aortic aneurysm (107 v 54, P = 0.002, 2 test). Between scheduled screening and the end of follow up 18 men in the intervention group and 25 in the control group died from abdominal aortic aneurysm, yielding a mortality ratio of 0.61 (95% confidence interval 0.33 to 1.11). Any benefit was almost entirely in men aged between 65 and 75 years, where the ratio was reduced to 0.19 (0.04 to 0.89). Conclusions At a whole population level screening for abdominal aortic aneurysms was not effective in men aged 65-83 years and did not reduce overall death rates. The success of screening depends on choice of target age group and the exclusion of ineligible men. It is also important to assess the current rate of elective surgery for abdominal aortic aneurysm as in some communities this may already approach a level that reduces the potential benefit of population based screening.

Objective To assess whether screening for abdominal aortic aneurysms in men reduces mortality. Design Population based randomised controlled trial of ultrasound screening, with intention to treat analysis of age standardised mortality. Setting Community based screening programme in Western Australia. Participants 41 000 men aged 65-83 years randomised to intervention and control groups. Intervention Invitation to ultrasound screening. Main outcome measure Deaths from abdominal aortic aneurysm in the five years after the start of screening. Results The corrected response to invitation to screening was 70%. The crude prevalence was 7.2% for aortic diameter ≥ 30 mm and 0.5% for diameter ≥ 55 mm. Twice as many men in the intervention group than in the control group underwent elective surgery for abdominal aortic aneurysm (107 v 54, P = 0.002, 2 test). Between scheduled screening and the end of follow up 18 men in the intervention group and 25 in the control group died from abdominal aortic aneurysm, yielding a mortality ratio of 0.61 (95% confidence interval 0.33 to 1.11). Any benefit was almost entirely in men aged between 65 and 75 years, where the ratio was reduced to 0.19 (0.04 to 0.89). Conclusions At a whole population level screening for abdominal aortic aneurysms was not effective in men aged 65-83 years and did not reduce overall death rates. The success of screening depends on choice of target age group and the exclusion of ineligible men. It is also important to assess the current rate of elective surgery for abdominal aortic aneurysm as in some communities this may already approach a level that reduces the potential benefit of population based screening.

Several case-control studies have shown a significant negative association between diabetes and abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA). This interaction has the potential to further our understanding of these two diseases but has attracted little research. The changes seen in the walls of aneurysmal aortas include inflammation and the activation of proteolytic pathways resulting in loss of elastin and other structural proteins. In contrast, diabetes is associated with increased synthesis and reduced degradation of matrix. The deposition of advanced glycation end products also renders vascular matrix resistant to proteolysis in diabetic patients. The aim of our present minireview is to compare the changes in matrix biology seen in diabetes and AAA and to explore molecular mechanisms that may explain the negative association and identify possible therapeutic implications.

Objective-To assess the relationship between infrarenal aortic diameter and subsequent all-cause mortality in men aged 65 years or older. Methods and Results-Aortic diameter was measured using ultrasound in 12 203 men aged 65 to 83 years as part of a trial of screening for abdominal aortic aneurysms. A range of cardiovascular risk factors was also documented. Mortality over the next 3 to 7 years was assessed using record linkage. Initial aortic diameter was categorized into 10 intervals, and the relationship between increasing diameter and subsequent mortality was explored using Cox proportional hazard models. Median diameter increased from 21.4 mm in the youngest men to 22.1 mm in the oldest men. The cumulative all-cause mortality increased in a graded fashion with increasing aortic diameter. Using the diameter interval 19 to 22 mm as the reference, the adjusted hazard ratio for all-cause mortality increased from 1. [3][4][5] In other words, not only is an AAA a potentially dangerous condition in its own right but also is it a marker for death from other causes. This appears to be primarily caused by an association with various manifestations of cardiovascular disease. 4,5 The distribution of infrarenal aortic diameter is continuous, albeit skewed to the right, and as such the choice of the 30 mm threshold is arbitrary. 6,7 No attention has been given to the possibility that there may be a continuous relationship between infrarenal aortic diameter in the nonaneurysmal range (Ͻ30 mm in diameter) and all-cause mortality. We have used data collected as part of the Western Australian trial of screening for AAA 8 to test the hypothesis that infrarenal aortic diameter predicts all-cause mortality in a cohort of 12 203 men aged 65 years and older. Methods Subject Recruitment and ScreeningDetails of the trial of screening are described elsewhere. 8 Eligible men were identified and recruited from an electronic copy of the electoral roll, enrollment to vote being compulsory for Australian citizens, and invited to attend a screening clinic close to their home. Women were not invited for screening because their prevalence of AAA is one-sixth that in men. 9 On arrival at the clinic, the study was explained to each participant and written consent was obtained. Each man completed a questionnaire about demographic factors, medical and occupational history, and aspects of diet and lifestyle relevant to cardiovascular disease. This was followed-up by a brief physical examination (height, weight, girth at hips and waist, blood pressure) by a nurse and then measurement of the maximum transverse and antero-posterior diameter of the infrarenal aorta using a Toshiba Capasee ultrasound machine with a 3.75 mol/L Hz probe (Toshiba Australia). The largest measurement was recorded as the aortic diameter, with images recorded on videotape for later verification by a radiologist if required. All 4 staff members performing ultrasound examinations participated in regular quality-control exercises in which interrater and intrarater agreement ...

Objective: To determine 30 day mortality, long term survival, and recurrent cardiac events after coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) in a population. Design: Follow up study of patients prospectively entered on to a cardiothoracic surgical database. Record linkages were used to obtain data on readmissions and deaths. Patients: 8910 patients undergoing isolated first CABG between 1980 and 1993 in Western Australia. Main outcome measures: 30 day and long term survival, readmission for cardiac event (acute myocardial infarction, unstable angina, percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty or reoperative CABG). Results: There were 3072 deaths to mid 1999. 30 day and long term survival were significantly better in patients treated in the first five years than during the following decade. The age of the patients, proportion of female patients, and number of grafts increased over time. An urgent procedure (odds ratio 3.3), older age (9% per year) and female sex (odds ratio 1.5) were associated with increased risk for 30 day mortality, while age (7% per year) and a recent myocardial infarction (odds ratio 1.16) influenced long term survival. Internal mammary artery grafts were followed by better short and long term survival, though there was an obvious selection bias in favour of younger male patients. Conclusions: This study shows worsening crude mortality at 30 days after CABG from the mid 1980s, associated with the inclusion of higher risk patients. Older age, an acute myocardial infarction in the year before surgery, and the use of sephenous vein grafts only were associated with poorer long term survival and greater risk of a recurrent cardiac event. Female sex predicted recurrent events but not long term survival.