The dynamics of surface water play a crucial role in the hydrological cycle and are sensitive to climate change and anthropogenic activities, especially for the agricultural zone. As one of the most populous areas in China's river basins, the surface water in the Huai River Basin has significant impacts on agricultural plants, ecological balance, and socioeconomic development. However, it is unclear how water areas responded to climate change and anthropogenic water exploitation in the past decades. To understand the changes in water surface areas in the Huai River Basin, this study used the available 16,760 scenes Landsat TM, ETM+, and OLI images in this region from 1989 to 2017 and processed the data on the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform. The vegetation index and water index were used to quantify the spatiotemporal variability of the surface water area changes over the years. The major results include: (1) The maximum area, the average area, and the seasonal variation of surface water in the Huai River Basin showed a downward trend in the past 29 years, and the year-long surface water areas showed a slight upward trend; (2) the surface water area was positively correlated with precipitation (p < 0.05), but was negatively correlated with the temperature and evapotranspiration; (3) the changes of the total area of water bodies were mainly determined by the 216 larger water bodies (>10 km 2 ). Understanding the variations in water body areas and the controlling factors could support the designation and implementation of sustainable water management practices in agricultural, industrial, and domestic usages. ranks the first among the major river basins in China, and it plays an important role in China's economic and social development. According to the 2016 Huai River Water Resources Bulletin, the surface water resource supply in the Huai River Basin accounts for 74.6% of the total water supply of various water supply projects. Therefore, the temporal and spatial variation characteristics of surface waters need to be accurately mapped to ensure the sustainable economic and social development of the river basin and the stability of the ecosystem.Previous studies mapped the surface water using different data, algorithms and produced different spatial scale production. Satellite-based methods have advantages compared to the traditional methods in surface water mapping due to the low cost, high frequency, and repeatable observations. In recent decades, regional, continental, and global-scales surface water areas have been investigated using the advanced very high resolution radiometer (AVHRR) [5,6], the moderate-resolution imaging spectro-radiometer (MODIS) [7], Landsat [8][9][10][11][12][13][14][15][16][17][18], Sentinel satellite images and so on. Meanwhile, many satellite-based approaches have been developed to detect surface water. The surface water detection algorithms can be roughly divided into general feature classification methods and thematic water surface extraction algorithms [17,19]. General feature cl...

Hand-foot-mouth disease (HFMD) is a common infectious disease in children and is particularly severe in Guangxi, China. Meteorological conditions are known to play a pivotal role in the HFMD. Previous studies have reported numerous models to predict the incidence of HFMD. In this study, we proposed a new method for the HFMD prediction using GeoDetector and a Long Short-Term Memory neural network (LSTM). The daily meteorological factors and HFMD records in Guangxi during 2014–2015 were adopted. First, potential risk factors for the occurrence of HFMD were identified based on the GeoDetector. Then, region-specific prediction models were developed in 14 administrative regions of Guangxi, China using an optimized three-layer LSTM model. Prediction results (the R-square ranges from 0.39 to 0.71) showed that the model proposed in this study had a good performance in HFMD predictions. This model could provide support for the prevention and control of HFMD. Moreover, this model could also be extended to the time series prediction of other infectious diseases.

No abstract

No abstract

No abstract