Objective
To assess the ability of avocado–soybean unsaponifiable—Expanscience (ASU-E) to slow radiographic progression in symptomatic hip osteoarthritis (OA).
Methods
Prospective, randomised, double blind, parallel group, placebo controlled 3 year trial. Patients with symptomatic (painful ≥1 year, Lequesne Index between 3 and 10) hip OA (American College of Rheumatology criteria) and a minimum joint space width (JSW) of the target hip between 1 and 4 mm on a pelvic radiograph were randomly assigned to 300 mg/day ASU-E or placebo. Standing pelvis, target hip anteroposterior (AP) and oblique views were taken annually. The primary outcome was JSW change at year 3, measured at the narrowest point on pelvic or target hip AP view (manual measure using a 0.1 mm graduated magnifying glass). The full analysis dataset (FAS) included all patients having at least two successive radiographs. An analysis of covariance Mixed Model for Repeated Measurements with Missing at Random (for missing data) was performed to compare adjusted 3 year JSW changes (primary outcome) and the percentages of ‘progressors’ (JSW loss≥0.5 mm) between groups.
Results
399 patients were randomised (345 kept in the FAS), aged 62 (35–84) years, 54% women, mean body mass index 27 (SD 4) kg/m
2
, mean symptom duration 4 (SD 5) years, 0–100 normalised Lequesne Index 30 (SD 9) and global pain visual analogue scale 37 (SD 23) mm. Mean baseline JSW was 2.8 (0.9) mm. There was no significant difference on mean JSW loss (−0.638 mm vs −0.672 mm, p=0.72, in the ASU-E and placebo groups, respectively) but there were 20% less progressors in the ASU-E than in the placebo group (40% vs 50%, respectively, p=0.040). No difference was observed on clinical outcomes. Safety was excellent.
Conclusions
3 year treatment with ASU-E reduces the percentage of JSW progressors, indicating a potential structure modifying effect in hip OA to be confirmed, and the clinical relevance requires further assessment.
Trial registration number on ClinicalTrial.gov
NCT01062737
SUMMARY
Objective
Total joint replacement has been proposed as an endpoint in disease modifying osteoarthritis drug (DMOAD) randomized clinical trials (RCTs); however, disparities have generated concerns regarding this outcome. A combined Osteoarthritis Research Society International (OARSI)/Outcome Measures in Rheumatology (OMERACT) initiative was launched in 2004 to develop a composite index [‘virtual total joint replacement’ (VJR)] as a surrogate outcome for osteoarthritis (OA) progression in DMOAD RCTs. Our objective was to evaluate the prevalence of patients fulfilling different thresholds of sustained pain, reduced function, and X-ray change in existing DMOAD RCTs.
Design
Post hoc analysis of summary data from the placebo arm of eight DMOAD RCTs.
Results
Eight OA RCTs representing 1379 patients were included. Pain was assessed by WOMAC and/or VAS and function by WOMAC and/or Lequesne. Among six knee and two hip studies, 248 (22%) and 132 (51%) patients respectively had X-ray progression [decrease joint space width (JSW) ≥0.5 mm]. The prevalence of patients fulfilling clinical and radiographic criteria was highest (n = 163, 12%) in the least stringent scenario (pain + function ≥80 at ≥2 visits); with few patients (n = 129, 2%) in the most stringent scenario (pain + function ≥80 at ≥4 visits). Using these prevalence data, a sample size of 352–2144 per group would be needed to demonstrate a 50% difference between groups.
Conclusions
The prevalence of patients with sustained symptomatic OA of at least a moderate degree with X-ray progression is low. Even using lenient criteria to define VJR, large patient numbers would be required to detect differences between groups in DMOAD RCTs. Investigation of the optimal cutoff threshold and combination of symptoms and radiographic change should be pursued.
When making decisions about which treatment to prescribe, physicians take into account the cost to patients. Changes in reimbursement rates for some OA treatments may lead to changes in prescribing practices.
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