This study will help to project the future scenario of these East Asian marginal sea ecosystems under upcoming climate regime shift in North Pacific. Climate regime shift, East Asian marginal sea, Fish species, Seawater temperature, Synchronicity Synchronicity of climate driven regime shifts among the East Asian marginal sea waters and major fish species
The western part of East/Japan Sea (WES) is an important area for understanding climate change processes and interactions between atmospheric and oceanic conditions. We analyzed the trends in recent oceanic conditions in the WES after the recent climate regime shift (CRS) that occurred in the late 1990s in the North Pacific. We explored the most important climate factors that affect oceanic conditions and determined their responses to changes in climate change. In the CRS that occurred in the late 1980s, changes in oceanic conditions in the WES were influenced by intensity changes in climate factors, and, in the late 1990s, it was by spatial changes in climate factors. The latitudinal shift of the Aleutian low (AL) pressure influences recent changes in oceanic and atmospheric conditions in the WES. The intensity of the Kuroshio Current and the sea level pressure in the Kuroshio extension region associated with the latitudinal shift of the AL pressure affects the volume of transport of the warm and saline water mass that flows into the WES and its atmospheric conditions. In addition, the fluctuations in the oceanic conditions of the WES affect various regions and depth layers differently, and these variations are evident even within the WES.
Using geographic sea surface current data, long-term changes in spatial and temporal variations in the Kuroshio Current 1993–2021 were analyzed, and the relationship between the Kuroshio Current and oceanic conditions, such as water column structure and intensity of East Korea Warm Current (EKWC) in the western part of the East Sea (WES), was investigated. Long-term changes in the Kuroshio Current intensity were positively correlated with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation and East Asian Winter Monsoon indices. When the Kuroshio Current was strong, its main axis passing around the Ryukyu Islands moved eastward, and the intensity of EKWC separated from the Kuroshio Current and flowed into the WES, indicating weakened conditions. When the intensity of the EKWC was weakened, its main axis moved away from the inshore area of the WES. As a result, the vertical distribution range of the cold and low saline water mass located in the bottom layer extended to shallower depths in the inshore area of the WES with increasing chlorophyll-a.
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