eGFR markers appear to have relatively low short-term within-person variability, whereas variability in albuminuria appears to be high, making it difficult to distinguish random variability from meaningful biologic changes.
Background/Purpose: Lupus nephritis (LN) is frequently associated with a poor long-term prognosis. Current non-invasive blood and urine tests do not reliably predict the course of LN. The objective of this study was to evaluate the performance of candidate urine biomarkers in predicting future kidney function in adults and children with LN. The biomarker candidates studies were liver-type fatty acid binding protein (L-FABP), albumin (Alb), monocyte chemoattractant protein 1 (MCP-1), Uromodulin, Transferrin and Hepcidin.Methods: L-FABP, Alb, MCP-1, Uromodulin, Transferrin and Hepcidin were measured by ELISA in urine from 70 adults and 42 children collected at the time of enrollment into prospective observational LN cohorts. Urine analytes were normalized to urine creatinine and logarithmically transformed. The association of each analyte to renal function loss (RFL), defined as a sustained increase of Ն25% in serum creatinine (SCr; adults) or a decrease in eGFR of Ն20% (children), was determined using a fixed effect model after adjusting for the age group (adult vs. child). In addition, the results were confirmed using Wilcoxon Rank Sum tests. Logistical models were used to predict the presence of RFL using each biomarker or a combination of the biomarkers. Biomarker performance in predicting RFL was assessed as the area under a ROC curve (AUC) corresponding to the logistical model.Results: 13 children and 22 adults had RFL during the mean follow-up period of 6.1 months and 60 months, respectively. Overall patients with RFL showed significantly higher levels ALB than those without RFL
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