Resumo: Com o presente trabalho teve-se como objetivo analisar o impacto da expansão do setor naval em razão do Programa de Mobilização da Indústria Nacional de Petróleo e Gás Natural (Prominp) no Brasil, instituído em 2003, sobre a arrecadação de impostos dos municípios afetados pela política, tendo como foco de análise o Estado do Rio Grande do Sul, onde os investimentos no setor se intensificaram a partir de 2006. Tem-se então, um painel de dados em nível municipal com as variáveis de interesse para o período de 2000 a 2012. O método utilizado para avaliar o impacto foi o de diferenças em diferenças com efeito fixo de município. Os resultados encontrados, ao considerar o principal grupo de controle da análise, o Conselho Regional de Desenvolvimento da Região Sul (Corede Sul), mostram que a expansão do setor naval impactou de forma positiva a arrecadação do Imposto Predial e Territorial Urbano (IPTU) e do Imposto sobre a Propriedade de Veículos Automotores (IPVA), tendo este, no ano 2006, um aumento de 25,8% e 30,8%, respectivamente.Palavras-chave: Setor Naval. Política Pública. Tributação. Diferenças em Diferenças. Effect of the Policy of Mobilization of the Naval Sector in Rio Grande do Sul: an analysis on the municipal collection  Abstract: This study aims to analyze the impact of the expansion of naval sector due to Programa de Mobilização da Indústria Nacional de Petróleo e Gás Natural (Prominp) in Brazil, established in 2003, on the collection of taxes from the municipalities that received the intervention, focusing on the analysis for the state of Rio Grande do Sul, where the investments in the sector increase from 2006. Has a panel of municipal-level data with the variables of interest for the period 2000 to 2012. The method used to measure this impact was the differences in differences with fixed effect of municipalities. The results, considering the main control group analysis, Conselho Regional de Desenvolvimento da Região Sul (Corede Sul), show that the expansion of naval sector positively impacted, in 2006, the collection of the Urban Land and Territorial Tax (IPTU) and Property Tax on Motor Vehicles (IPVA) in 25.8% and 30.8%, respectively.Keywords: Naval Sector. Public Policy. Taxation. Differences in Differences.

No abstract

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate whether isolated illiteracy generates a barrier to knowledge about the Brazilian Federal Government’s Single Registry for social programs. Design/methodology/approach Based on information contained in the Brazilian National Household Sample Survey (Pesquisa Nacional por Amostra de Domicilios – PNAD) 2014, the propensity score matching method was combined with the algorithm proposed by Imbens (2015). The analyzed sample consists of two groups of illiterate individuals: isolated illiterates (IILs) (treatment group), which consists of only illiterate individuals who live with other illiterates; and proximate illiterates (PILs) (control group), which consists of illiterates who live with someone who is literate in the household. Findings Evidence indicates that IIL individuals are, on average, less likely to know about the single registry than PIL people. Research limitations/implications The main limitation relates to the database since the only information available in the PNAD on the access to the single registry is for the year 2014. Practical implications The evidence found in the study reinforces the need to invest in the fight against illiteracy in Brazil. Social implications Results show that a portion of the possible beneficiaries of social programs are still “invisible” to the government’s social protection networks, and this highlights the existence of possible errors of exclusion. Originality/value The paper compares two groups of illiterate people, a group that lives in an isolated illiteracy situation and the other that does not. It also assesses the effect of literacy externalities on the access to the Brazilian Single Registry.

Este estudo objetivou identificar alguns fatos que influenciaram os preços daarroba do boi gordo recebido pelo produtor, bem como realizar estimativas dessespreços para um período de quatro meses, a partir de maio de 2007. Utilizou-se ametodologia idealizada por Box-Jenkins (1976). Os resultados demonstraram que asérie em questão (01/1996-05/2007) apresentou uma quebra estrutural no períodoreferente a janeiro de 2004, fato que levou ao corte desta, sendo considerado na análiseo intervalo de fevereiro de 2004 a maio de 2007, apresentando 40 observações. Algunsacontecimentos podem ter influenciado os preços da arroba do boi gordo naquele momento;destes, um que merece destaque é o fato de que, no período foram detectados dois focosde febre aftosa nos estados do Amazonas e do Pará, o que acarretou o embargo dasexportações para Rússia.

Resumo Códigos JEL J64; J65. AbstractThe objective of this article is to evaluate the infl uence of the Brazilian Unemployment Insurance program on their reinsertion wage of benefi ted. For the empirical analysis, we used the method of regression model Sharp discontinuity, as well as the propensity score matching as a criterion of robustness. Evaluating the results, one perceives that the national program goes of meeting to the theories, since suffi cient did not reveal to infl uence the wage of reserve of the benefi ted ones. This indicates that the same act in order to assists fi nancially the worker for a defi ned period of time without adding any level of human capital to their benefi t.

This article aims to examine the existence of rule manipulation and moral hazard in the Brazilian Unemployment Insurance Program. For empirical analysis, the rule manipulation test by Cattaneo, Janson and Ma (2016) was used, as well as fuzzy and sharp regression discontinuity. The data was built using data from the National Employment and Unemployment Survey from January 2008 to June 2014 due to the greater homogeneity of the rules for benefit access. Based on the results, the program is an influence on the length of employment of Brazilian workers given the existence of rule manipulation, assessed by the length of stay in the last job. Furthermore, it was found that heads of families and their children were less likely to search for employment. This findings were corroborated when data from the program beneficiaries only was assessed, showing a lower job search probability, between -21.80 p.p. and -15.08 p.p. for the children, and between -39.40 p.p. and -28.50 p.p. for the heads of families. Thus, it is possible to confirm the existence of both rule manipulation the access of the program, as well as moral hazard, which points to the need to restructure the program, and above all, have less influence on the national labor market.

We investigate the effect of a family-based primary health care program (Healthly Early Childhood Program) on infant mortality in the state of Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil. We estimate infant mortality's counterfactual trajectories using the differences-in-differences approach, combined with the use of longitudinal data for all municipalities in the state of Rio Grande do Sul. Our main result is that the program reduced the number of deaths caused by external causes. The length of exposure to the program seems to potentiate the effects. For the number of deaths by general causes, there is no evidence of impact. Our findings are consistent with the nature of the program that aims to improve adults care with children. The Healthly Early Childhood Program is effective in reducing the number of avoidable deaths in infants.

PurposeThe aim of this study is to evaluate five job qualification programs for young apprentices, in Goiás, a Brazilian State. We expect to contribute to the improvement and strengthening of the job training programs in developing countries.Design/methodology/approachWe applied propensity score matching and extensions such as the generalized propensity score method (dose–response effect).FindingsWe found evidence of the heterogenous effects of the five job qualification programs on employability. We found that the duration of the programs influences employability in up to two years after the program.Research limitations/implicationsThis research is based on secondary data provided by the responsible institutions. The evidence is obtained through a nonexperimental method.Practical implicationsThe research has implications for public or private institutions dedicated to the professional qualification of young apprentices.Social implicationsThe findings of the study provide some ways of comparing training programs, for young workers, that can be applied in different types of institutions.Originality/valueThis study provides new insight about the professional qualification of young apprentices, by comparing fives programs in Midwest Brazil.