SummaryBackgroundIn developed countries, smoking is associated with increased risk of diabetes. Little is known about the association in China, where cigarette consumption has increased (first in urban, then in rural areas) relatively recently. Moreover, uncertainty remains about the effect of smoking cessation on diabetes in China and elsewhere. We aimed to assess the associations of smoking and smoking cessation with risk of incident diabetes among Chinese adults.MethodsThe prospective China Kadoorie Biobank enrolled 512 891 adults (59% women) aged 30–79 years during 2004–08 from ten diverse areas (five urban and five rural) across China. Participants were interviewed at study assessment clinics, underwent physical measurements, and had a non-fasting blood sample taken. Participants were separated into four categories according to smoking history: never-smokers, ever-regular smokers, ex-smokers, and occasional smokers. Incident diabetes cases were identified through linkage with diabetes surveillance systems, the national health insurance system, and death registries. All analyses were done separately in men and women and Cox regression was used to yield adjusted hazards ratios (HRs) for diabetes associated with smoking.Findings68% (n=134 975) of men ever smoked regularly compared with 3% (n=7811) of women. During 9 years' follow-up, 13 652 new-onset diabetes cases were recorded among 482 589 participants without previous diabetes. Among urban men, smokers had an adjusted HR of 1·18 (95% CI 1·12–1·25) for diabetes. HRs increased with younger age at first smoking regularly (1·12, 1·20, and 1·27 at ≥25 years, 20–24 years, and <20 years, respectively; p for trend=0·00073) and with greater amount smoked (1·11, 1·15, 1·42, and 1·63 for <20, 20–29, 30–39 and ≥40 cigarettes per day; p for trend<0·0001). Among rural men, similar, albeit more modest, associations were seen. Overall, HRs were more extreme at higher levels of adiposity. Among men who stopped by choice, there was no excess risk within 5 years of cessation, contrasting with those who stopped because of illness (0·92 [0·75–1·12] vs 1·42 [1·23–1·63]). Among the few women who ever smoked regularly, the excess risk of diabetes was significant (1·33 [1·20–1·47]).InterpretationAmong Chinese adults, smoking was associated with increased risk of diabetes, with no significant excess risk following voluntary smoking cessation.FundingWellcome Trust, Medical Research Council, British Heart Foundation, Cancer Research UK, Kadoorie Charitable Foundation, Ministry of Science and Technology, National Natural Science Foundation of China, and China Scholarship Council.
Background. Over the past decades, lots of advance have occurred in the prevention, diagnosis, and treatment of head and neck cancer (HNC). However, the contemporaneous incidence and survival trends, on the basis of population-based registry, have not been reported. Methods. The HNC cancer cases were accessed from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. The incidence trend was analyzed by joinpoint analysis, with the survival trend being analyzed by period analysis of relative survival rate (RSR) and Kaplan-Meier analyses. Cox regression analysis was performed to identify the prognostic factors for overall survival. Results. The general incidence trend of HNC increases slightly, with an average annual percentage change of 0.6%, along with five fluctuating segments. The improvement of net survival over the past decades was showed by increasing 60-month RSR, from 54.1% to 56.0% to 60.9% to 66.8%, which was further confirmed by Kaplan-Meier analyses. Moreover, disparities in incidence and survival patterns can be observed in different subgroups. Conclusion. A fluctuating incidence pattern and an ever-improving survival were observed in HNC over time.
Until recently, few studies have reported the secular trend and associated factors of hypertension severities and phenotypes in China. In this study, the authors aimed to assess the trend in the prevalence of hypertension according to severity and phenotype in Chinese adults from 1991 to 2015 and to explore potential cardiometabolic factors. From the China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS), the authors included 164 682 records of adults (≥18 years). The prevalence of hypertension by severity (stage 1 and stage 2 hypertension) and by phenotype (isolated systolic hypertension [ISH], isolated diastolic hypertension [IDH], and systolic‐diastolic hypertension [SDH]), during 1991‐2015 was explored. The potential effects of demographic, socioeconomic, geographic, and cardiometabolic factors on hypertension severities and phenotypes were assessed by multivariable logistic regression. During 1991‐2015, the overall prevalence of hypertension increased dramatically from 15.7% to 23.3%. For stage 1 and stage 2 hypertension, the age‐standardized prevalence increased from 10.1% to 15.6% and from 5.5% to 7.4%, respectively. For ISH and SDH, the age‐standardized prevalence rates rose from 3.6% to 6.4% and from 6.9% to 10.4%, respectively. Advanced age and medium/high urbanization were positively associated factors, whereas females, higher educational attainments, and residing in Southern China were negatively associated factors. Additionally, general obesity, central obesity, diabetes, and elevated triglyceride levels were linked to ISH, IDH, and SDH. The present study documents an increasing trend in the prevalence of hypertension, including different severities and phenotypes, among Chinese adults over more than two decades. Efforts for the prevention and management of hypertension are in urgent need in China.
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