We have developed and validated a simple, clinically relevant model to reliably discriminate patients at high and lower risk of death using routinely available variables from the time of diagnosis in unselected populations of patients with MPM.

Pleural infection is a disease of historical importance and is still a modern menace, with incidences rising in adults and children, and a significant mortality in adults. Basic research is hampered by limitations with in vivo models, and the bacteriology of empyema is complex. The role of thoracic ultrasound in guiding investigation and drainage of empyema is clear. Prompt treatment with appropriate systemic antibiotics and chest tube drainage are the key; in cases of failure of these measures, thoracic surgery is of proven efficacy in the treatment of this age-old disease.

PurposeMalignant pleural mesothelioma (MPM) has a high symptom burden and poor survival. Evidence from other cancer types suggests some benefit in health-related quality of life (HRQoL) with early specialist palliative care (SPC) integrated with oncological services, but the certainty of evidence is low.MethodsWe performed a multicentre, randomised, parallel group controlled trial comparing early referral to SPC versus standard care across 19 hospital sites in the UK and one large site in Western Australia. Participants had newly diagnosed MPM; main carers were additionally recruited. Intervention: review by SPC within 3 weeks of allocation and every 4 weeks throughout the study. HRQoL was assessed at baseline and every 4 weeks with the European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) Quality of Life Questionnaire Core 30. Primary outcome: change in EORTC C30 Global Health Status 12 weeks after randomisation.ResultsBetween April 2014 and October 2016, 174 participants were randomised. There was no significant between group difference in HRQoL score at 12 weeks (mean difference 1.8 (95% CI −4.9 to 8.5; p=0.59)). HRQoL did not differ at 24 weeks (mean difference −2.0 (95% CI −8.6 to 4.6; p=0.54)). There was no difference in depression/anxiety scores at 12 weeks or 24 weeks. In carers, there was no difference in HRQoL or mood at 12 weeks or 24 weeks, although there was a consistent preference for care, favouring the intervention arm.ConclusionThere is no role for routine referral to SPC soon after diagnosis of MPM for patients who are cared for in centres with good access to SPC when required.Trial registration number ISRCTN18955704.

Background: Malignant mesothelioma is an aggressive, almost uniformly fatal tumor, primarily caused by exposure to asbestos. Since the recent discovery that serum mesothelin is a sensitive and highly specific biomarker for mesothelioma, one of the key issues raised is whether mesothelin levels represent a useful screening test for asbestos-exposed at-risk individuals. In this study, soluble mesothelin was determined in sequential serum samples collected from asbestos-exposed individuals before the development of mesothelioma.Methods: Archival serum samples from 106 individuals who developed mesothelioma, 99 asbestosexposed individuals from the Wittenoom Cancer Surveillance Program, and 109 non-asbestos-exposed individuals from the Busselton Health Survey were identified. Serum mesothelin concentrations were determined using the MESOMARK assay.Results: Longitudinal mesothelin levels determined in healthy asbestos-exposed individuals over a period of 4 years were stable (Pearson's r = 0.96; P < 0.0001). There was no correlation between mesothelin concentration and cumulative asbestos exposure. Mesothelin concentrations were greater than the threshold value of 2.5 nmol/L in the penultimate serum sample before the diagnosis of mesothelioma in 17 of 106 people. Using an increase above the 95% confidence interval of the mean of a given individual's longitudinal mesothelin results, 33 of 82 individuals had increasing mesothelin levels before diagnosis.Conclusion: In a population with a high pretest probability of developing mesothelioma, the serum biomarker mesothelin is elevated in absolute terms in 15% and in relative terms in 40% of the group.Impact: Future studies examining a combination of biomarkers could improve sensitivity of screening.

Background: There is evidence of activation of the extrinsic coagulation cascade in the asthmatic airway, and both plasma and locally derived factors may be involved. The hypothesis that the normal haemostatic balance of healthy airways sampled by sputum induction favours fibrin formation in asthmatic airways, and that inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) and plasma exudation influence this balance, was tested. Methods: ELISA and activity assays were used to measure a 2 -macroglobulin (an index of plasma leakage) and coagulation factors in hypertonic saline-induced sputum of 30 stable subjects (10 controls, 10 with moderate asthma and 10 with severe asthma). Additionally, the moderate cohort were weaned off their ICS, followed by further sputum induction 5 days after cessation of steroids. Results: ICS wean induced a significant rise in plasminogen (median (interquartile range (IQR)): 13.92 (6.12-16.17) vs 4.82 (2.14-13.32) ng/ml; 95% CI 0.003 to 8.596, p = 0.0499) and tissue plasminogen activator (tPA; 5.57 (3.57-14.35) vs 3.88 (1.74-4.05) ng/ml; 95% CI 0.828 to 9.972, p = 0.0261) levels in sputum, such that tPA in untreated moderate asthma was significantly (p = 0.0029) higher than normal (2.14 (0.0-2.53) ng/ml). Subjects with severe asthma had significantly more a 2 -macroglobulin (p = 0.0003), tissue factor (p = 0.023), plasminogen activator inhibitor (p = 0.0091), thrombinactivatable fibrinolysis inhibitor (p = 0.0031) and fibrin degradation products (p = 0.0293) in their sputum than control subjects. Conclusion: Untreated moderate asthma is associated with increased fibrinolysis that is corrected by ICS. Severe asthma and high dose corticosteroid therapy is associated with a profibrinogenic, antifibrinolytic environment in the airways. This study suggests that inhibition of fibrin deposition in severe asthma may be a therapeutic approach.

ObjectiveAdvance care planning (ACP) clarifies goals for future care if a patient becomes unable to communicate their own preferences. However, ACP uptake is low, with discussions often occurring late. This study assessed whether a systematic nurse-led ACP intervention increases ACP in patients with advanced respiratory disease.DesignA multicentre open-label randomised controlled trial with preference arm.SettingMetropolitan teaching hospital and a rural healthcare network.Participants149 participants with respiratory malignancy, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease or interstitial lung disease.InterventionNurse facilitators offered facilitated ACP discussions, prompted further discussions with doctors and loved ones, and assisted participants to appoint a substitute medical decision-maker (SDM) and complete an advance directive (AD).Outcome measuresThe primary measure was formal (AD or SDM) or informal (discussion with doctor) ACP uptake assessed by self-report (6 months) and medical notes audit. Secondary measures were the factors predicting baseline readiness to undertake ACP, and factors predicting postintervention ACP uptake in the intervention arm.ResultsAt 6 months, formal ACP uptake was significantly higher (p<0.001) in the intervention arm (54/106, 51%), compared with usual care (6/43, 14%). ACP discussions with doctors were also significantly higher (p<0.005) in the intervention arm (76/106, 72%) compared with usual care (20/43, 47%). Those with a strong preference for the intervention were more likely to complete formal ACP documents than those randomly allocated. Increased symptom burden and preference for the intervention predicted later ACP uptake. Social support was positively associated with ACP discussion with loved ones, but negatively associated with discussion with doctors.ConclusionsNurse-led facilitated ACP is acceptable to patients with advanced respiratory disease and effective in increasing ACP discussions and completion of formal documents. Awareness of symptom burden, readiness to engage in ACP and relevant psychosocial factors may facilitate effective tailoring of ACP interventions and achieve greater uptake.Trial registration numberACTRN12614000255684.

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Lung cancer screening with computerised tomography holds promise, but optimising the balance of benefits and harms via selection of a high risk population is critical. PLCO is a logistic regression model based on U.S. data, incorporating sociodemographic and health factors, which predicts 6-year lung cancer risk among ever-smokers, and thus may better predict those who might benefit from screening than criteria based solely on age and smoking history. We aimed to validate the performance of PLCO in predicting lung cancer outcomes in a cohort of Australian smokers. Predicted risk of lung cancer was calculated using PLCO applied to baseline data from 95,882 ever-smokers aged ≥45 years in the 45 and Up Study (2006-2009). Predictions were compared to lung cancer outcomes captured to June 2014 via linkage to population-wide health databases; a total of 1,035 subsequent lung cancer diagnoses were identified. PLCO had good discrimination (area under the receiver-operating-characteristic-curve; AUC 0.80, 95%CI 0.78-0.81) and excellent calibration (mean and 90th percentiles of absolute risk difference between observed and predicted outcomes: 0.006 and 0.016, respectively). Sensitivity (69.4%, 95%CI, 65.6-73.0%) of the PLCO criteria in the 55-74 year age group for predicting lung cancers was greater than that using criteria based on ≥30 pack-years smoking and ≤15 years quit (57.3%, 53.3-61.3%; p < 0.0001), but specificity was lower (72.0%, 71.7-72.4% versus 75.2%, 74.8-75.6%, respectively; p < 0.0001). Targeting high risk people for lung cancer screening using PLCO might improve the balance of benefits versus harms, and cost-effectiveness of lung cancer screening.