The risk of clinical progression for human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected persons receiving treatment with highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) is poorly defined. From an inception cohort of 8457 HIV-infected persons, 2027 patients who started HAART during prospective follow-up were examined. Results were validated in another 2 groups of patients (n=1946 and n=1442). In total, 200 patients (9.9%) experienced clinical progression during 5177 person-years (incidence, 3.9/100 years). The most recently measured CD4 cell count, virus load, and hemoglobin level all were independently related to the risk of clinical progression, as was a diagnosis of severe AIDS before the start of HAART. On the basis of these findings, a scoring system was derived (range, 0-17). A single unit increase in the score was associated with a 38% increased risk of clinical progression (relative hazard, 1.38; 95% confidence interval, 1.33-1.43; P<.0001). The scoring system was validated with remarkably good agreement in the 2 other cohorts. This system can be used in patient and resource management.

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Endothelins (ETs), peptides that were originally isolated from endothelial cells, have extremely potent and long-lasting vasoconstricting effects on cerebral vessels in vitro and in vivo. Observations that astrocytes produce these peptides and that their ET production can be stimulated, e.g. by thrombin, and potentiated via a self-enhancing autoregulatory mechanism may have shed new light upon the pathogenesis of cerebrovasospasm (CVS). ETs are present at low levels in normal human cerebrospinal fluid (CSF). Few and contradictory reports exist on ET levels in subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH)-associated CVS. We monitored ventricular CSF, plasma, and 24-h urine levels of immunoreactive endothelin-1 (ET-1) and endothelin-3 (ET-3) in seven patients with SAH, who did (five) or did not (two) develop CVS in the course of their disease, as well as in two patients with different conditions (acoustic neuroma/postoperative meningitis; hydro-/hematocephalus) over 7-19 days. A distinct peak of both ET-1 and ET-3 in CSF of patients with SAH coincided with clinically documented signs of CVS and was absent in CSF of patients with SAH but no CVS. CSF levels of ET-1 and ET-3 displayed a striking parallelism in all subjects. Plasma ET-1 levels were essentially in the normal range. ET-3 was not detectable in plasma under our assay conditions. The excretion profiles of ET-1 and ET-3 in 24-h urine revealed again a predominantly parallel behavior of the two peptides. Interestingly, patients with high ET levels in CSF showed simultaneous peaks in urinary ET excretion, expressed as nanograms per gram of creatinine. Our findings support an association of ETs with the pathogenic events following SAH. The well-documented effects of these peptides on cerebral vessels suggest they are mediators rather than markers of disease.

A nucleoside backbone of zidovudine/lamivudine or any tenofovir-based backbone was associated with significantly poorer increases in CD4 cell count compared to a nucleoside backbone of stavudine/lamivudine, as was an abacavir-based triple nucleoside regimen compared to a boosted protease inhibitor regimen. Long-term studies are needed to determine whether the differences in immunological response seen here translate into differences in the risk of clinical disease.