Glacier mass balance can visually indicate the degree of glacier response to climate change. The mountain glaciers are an essential source of recharge for rivers in arid regions and play a vital role in maintaining regional ecological stability and production life. This paper drives a spatially distributed degree-day model using multi-source remote sensing data such as MOD11C3 and TRMM3B43 to simulate the mass balance in the Tianshan Mountains’ south and north slope basins. The spatiotemporal heterogeneity of the mass balance was compared and attributed using a Geographical detector. The results show that: (1) The glaciers in the north and south basins are mainly distributed at an altitude of 3900–4300 m, and the total glacier area accounts for 85.71%. The number of less than 1 km2 glaciers is the most in the whole region. (2) During the study period, the glaciers in the north and south basins were negative (−465.95 mm w.e.) an entire interannual change rate was −28.36 mm w.e./a. The overall trend of ablation can be divided into two stages: from 2000 to 2010a, the persistence increased, and from 2010 to 2016a, the volatility decreased. (3) In the attribution of mass balance, the factors affecting glacier mass balance can be divided into two parts: climate and topography. The cumulative contribution rate of climate factors in Kaidu is nearly 20% higher than that of topographic factors, but the contribution rate of climate factors in Manas is only 7.3% higher. Therefore, the change of glacier mass balance in the Kaidu river basin is more driven by climate factors, while the glacier mass balance in the Manas river basin is more affected by the combination of climate and topographic factors. (4) The climate accumulation is the dominant factor in the Manas river basin (69.55%); for the ablation area, the Kaidu river basin is dominated by climate (70.85%), and the Manas river basin is dominated by topographic factors (54.11%). Due to the driving force of climate and topographic factors and the different coupling modes, glacier mass balance’s spatiotemporal heterogeneity in the north and south slope basins is caused. This study contributes to analyzing the mechanism of regional changes in the glacier mass balance. It provides a scientific basis for investigating the characteristics of water resource changes and water resource regulation in the north and south slope basins of the Tianshan Mountains.
Glacier surface albedo strongly affects glacier mass balance by controlling the glacier surface energy budget. As an indicator of the equilibrium line altitude (ELA), the glacier snowline altitude (SLA) at the end of the melt season can reflect variations in the glacier mass balance. Therefore, it is extremely crucial to investigate the changes of glacier surface albedo and glacier SLA for calculating and evaluating glacier mass loss. In this study, from 2011 to 2021, the surface albedo of the Muz Taw Glacier was derived from Landsat images with a spatial resolution of 30 m and from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer albedo products (MOD10A1) with a temporal resolution of 1 day, which was verified through the albedo measured by the Automatic Weather Station (AWS) installed in the glacier. Moreover, the glacier SLA was determined based on the variation in the surface albedo, with the altitude change along the glacier main flowline derived from the Landsat image at the end of the melt season. The correlation coefficient of >0.7, with a risk of error lower than 5%, between the surface albedo retrieved from remote sensing images and the in situ measurement data indicated that the method of deriving the glacier surface albedo by the remote sensing method was reliable. The annual average albedo showed a slight upward trend (0.24%) from 2011 to 2021. A unimodal seasonal variation in albedo was demonstrated, with the downward trend from January to August and the upward trend from August to December. The spatial distribution of the albedo was not entirely dependent on altitude due to the dramatic effects of the topography and glacier surface conditions. The average SLA was 3446 m a.s.l., with a variation of 160 m from 2011 to 2021. The correlation analysis between the glacier SLA and annual mean temperature/annual precipitation demonstrated that the variations of the average SLA on the Muz Taw Glacier was primarily affected by the air temperature. This study improved our understanding of the ablation process and mechanism of the Muz Taw Glacier.
Physical interactions between glacier surfaces and atmosphere are crucial to understanding the mechanism and process of glacier ablation but poorly constrained based on measured meteorological data from monitoring glaciers. We investigate how climatic regimes influence glacier mass loss in High Mountain Asia (HMA) from the perspective of glacier energy and mass balance for 30 glaciers with meteorological and mass-balance observations and project their volume loss under various shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) by the end of the 21st century. Our study shows that net shortwave (SWnet; 92.7%) and longwave (LWnet; 82.0%) radiation in the monsoon-dominated glaciers during the melt season are 1.08 times higher than those in the westerlies-dominated glaciers. Turbulent fluxes are similar in both regions, so that SWnet and LWnet determine the energy supply and expenditure in the two regions, respectively. Driven by such an energy balance context, melt (94.3%) in monsoon-dominated glaciers is 1.38 times greater than in westerlies-dominated glaciers, while snowfall in monsoon-dominated glaciers decreases, which jointly determines the difference in mass loss between the two regions. Additionally, sublimation and refreezing are the crucial factors contributing to mass balance, but their impact on mass balance is small. Volume-loss differences of approximately 15% also exist between the two regions under three shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs).
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