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Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most prevalent sustained arrhythmia found in clinical practice. AF rarely exists as a single entity but rather as part of a diverse clinical spectrum of cardiovascular diseases, related to structural and electrical remodeling within the left atrium, leading to AF onset, perpetuation, and progression. Due to the high overall prevalence within the AF population arterial hypertension plays a significant role in the pathogenesis of AF and its complications. Fibroblast proliferation, apoptosis of cardiomyocytes, gap junction remodeling, accumulation of collagen both in atrial and ventricular myocardium all accompany ageing-related structural remodeling with impact on electrical activity. The presence of hypertension also stimulates oxidative stress, systemic inflammation, rennin-angiotensin-aldosterone and sympathetic activation, which further drives the remodeling process in AF. Importantly, both hypertension and AF independently increase the risk of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events, e.g., stroke and myocardial infarction. Given that both AF and hypertension often present with limited on patient wellbeing, treatment may be delayed resulting in development of complications as the first clinical manifestation of the disease. Antithrombotic prevention in AF combined with strict blood pressure control is of primary importance, since stroke risk and bleeding risk are both greater with underlying hypertension.

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IntroductionAtrial high-rate episodes (AHREs) are associated with an increased risk of developing atrial fibrillation and thromboembolism. The characteristics of ‘real world’ patients developing AHREs are poorly known.MethodsWe included 496 consecutive patients with cardiac implantable electronic devices (CIEDs). Primary endpoint was occurrence of AHREs, defined as > 175 bpm and lasting > 5 min, in a median follow-up of 16.5 (IQR 3.9–38.6) months (1082.4 patient-years). We also tested the predictive value of clinical risk scores for AHREs.ResultsMean age was 68.8 ± 14.0 years, and 35.5% were women; AHREs were recorded in 173 patients [34.7%, 16.0%/year, 95% confidence interval (CI) 13.7–18.6]. Multivariable Cox regression analysis showed that age [hazard ratio (HR) 1.020, 95% CI 1.004–1.035, p = 0.011], prior AF (HR 3.521, 95% CI 2.831–5.206, p < 0.001), white cell count (HR 1.039, 95% CI 1.007–1.072, p = 0.016) and high C reactive protein (CRP; HR 1.039, 95% CI 1.021–2.056, p = 0.038) were independently associated with AHREs. ROC curve analysis showed that the APPLE score (C statistic 0.53, 95% CI 0.48–0.59; p = 0.296) ALARMEc score (C statistic 0.51, 95% CI 0.44–0.57; p = 0.810) were non-significantly associated with AHRE. Similar results were obtained for CHADS2 and CHA2DS2VASc scoreConclusionAHREs are common in CIEDs patients, with age, prior AF, inflammatory markers (high CRP, white cell count) being factors associated with AHREs onset. Clinical risk scores showed limited value for AHREs prediction in this cohort.Electronic supplementary materialThe online version of this article (10.1007/s00392-018-1244-0) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with an increased risk of stroke compared with the general population. AF-related stroke confers a higher mortality and morbidity risk, and thus, early detection and assessment for the initiation of effective stroke prevention with oral anticoagulation are crucial. Simple and practical risk assessment tools are essential to facilitate stroke and bleeding risk assessment in busy clinics and wards to aid decision making. At present, the CHADSVASc score is recommended by guidelines as the most simple and practical method of assessing stroke risk in AF patients. Alongside this, the use of the HAS-BLED score aims to identify patients at high risk of bleeding for more regular review and follow-up, and draws attention to potentially reversible bleeding risk factors. The aim of this review article is to summarize the current risk scores available for both stroke and bleeding in AF patients, and the recommendations for their use.

Background Sustained atrial high‐rate episodes (SAHREs) among individuals with a cardiac implantable electronic device are associated with an increased risk of adverse outcomes. Risk stratification for the development of SAHREs has never been investigated. We aimed to assess the performance of the C 2 HEST (coronary artery disease or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease [1 point each], hypertension [1 point], elderly [age ≥75 years, 2 points], systolic heart failure [2 points], thyroid disease [1 point]) score in predicting SAHREs in patients with cardiac implantable electronic devices without atrial fibrillation. Methods and Results Five Hundred consecutive patients with cardiac implantable electronic devices in the West Birmingham Atrial Fibrillation Project in the United Kingdom were followed since the procedure to observe the development of SAHREs, defined by atrial high‐rate episodes lasting >24 hours. Risk factors and incidence of SAHREs were analyzed. The predictive value of the C 2 HEST score for SAHRE prediction was evaluated. Over a mean follow‐up of 53.1 months, 44 (8.8%) patients developed SAHREs. SAHREs were associated with higher all‐cause mortality ( P <0.001) and ischemic stroke ( P =0.001). Age and heart failure were associated with SAHRE occurrence. The incidence of SAHREs increased by the C 2 HEST score (39% higher risk per point increase). Among patients with a C 2 HEST score ≥4, the incidence of SAHREs was 3.62% per year (95% CI, 2.14–5.16). The C 2 HEST score had moderate predictive capability (area under the curve, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.64–0.81) and discriminative ability (log‐rank P =0.003), which was better than other clinical scores (CHA 2 DS 2 ‐VASc, CHADS 2 , HATCH). Conclusions The C 2 HEST score predicted SAHRE incidence in patients without atrial fibrillation who had an cardiac implantable electronic device, with the highest risk seen in patients with a C 2 HEST score ≥4 The benefit of using the C 2 HEST score in clinical practice in this patient population needs further investigation.

Background Atrial high rate episodes (AHREs) detected by cardiac implantable electronic devices (CIEDs) are associated with an increased risk of stroke. However, the impact of AHRE on improving stroke risk stratification scheme remains uncertain. Objective The purpose of this study was to assess the impact of AHRE on prognosis in relation with cardiovascular events and risk stratification. Methods A total of 856 consecutive patients who had dual-chamber CIEDs implanted were retrospectively analyzed. To detect AHREs, they were monitored for 6 months after CIEDs’ implantation and were followed for a mean of 4.0 years for clinical outcomes such as thromboembolism or death. Results Overall, 125 (14.6%) of patients developed AHREs within the first 6 months (median age 72.0 years, 39.3% female). Patients with AHREs had a high rate of thromboembolism (2.6%/year) and mortality (3.0%/year). On multivariate analysis, AHRE was significantly associated with increased risk of thromboembolism [hazard ratio (HR) 3.40; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.38–8.37, P = 0.01] and death (HR 3.47; 95% CI 1.51–7.95; P < 0.01). The predictive abilities of the CHADS 2 and CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc scores were modest, with no significant improvements by adding AHRE to those scores. However, the integrated discrimination improvement and net reclassification improvement showed that the addition of AHRE to the CHADS 2 and CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc scores statistically improved their predictive ability for the composite outcome. Conclusions AHRE was an independent factor associated with increased risk of clinical outcomes. The addition of AHRE to the clinical risk scores significantly improved discrimination for thromboembolism or death. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (10.1007/s00392-019-01432-y) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

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