Plasma fibrinogen is a consistent predictor of ischemic heart disease (IHD) in prospective studies, but there are fewer data relating other hemostatic variables to IHD and also to stroke. We therefore studied the relationships of plasma fibrinogen, von Willebrand factor antigen, tissue plasminogen activator (TPA) antigen, factor VII, and fibrin D-dimer to incidence of IHD and stroke and determined whether any associations could be explained by conventional risk factors and baseline heart disease. In the Edinburgh Artery study, 1592 men and women aged 55 to 74 years, randomly sampled from the general population, were followed prospectively over 5 years to detect fatal and nonfatal IHD and stroke events. During the 5 years, 268 new vascular events were identified. Baseline plasma fibrinogen was independently related to risk of stroke in multivariate analysis that adjusted for cigarette smoking, LDL-cholesterol, systolic blood pressure, and preexisting IHD (relative risk [RR] 1.52, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.17, 1.98). TPA antigen, and fibrin D-dimer were also independently associated with risk of stroke (RR 1.69,95% CI 1.22,2.35 and RR 1.96, 95% CI 1.12,3.41, respectively). Significant relationships were found between TPA antigen and myocardial infarction (P < or = .05). In older men and women, increased coagulation activity and disturbed fibrinolysis are predictors of future vascular events (both IHD and stroke).
miological studies have reported positive associations between the risk of coronary heart disease (CHD) and plasma fibrinogen levels. Fibrinogen is the major coagulation protein in blood by mass, the precursor of fibrin, and an important determinant of blood viscosity and platelet aggregation. [38][39][40][41] Because fibrinogen levels can be reduced considerably by lifestyle interventions that also affect levels of established risk factors (such as regular exercise, smoking cessation, and moderate alcohol consumption), there is interest in the possibility that measurement (or modification) of fibrinogen may help in disease prediction or prevention. [38][39][40]42 A meta-analysis of published data from 18 such studies, involving about 4000 CHD cases, indicated a relative risk of 1.8 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.6-2.0) per 1-g/L increase in plasma fibrinogen level. 43 However, such analyses are not able to provide detailed assessments of the nature of any independent association of fibrinogen level with CHD or with other vascular and nonvascular outcomes. [43][44][45] This meta-analysis differs from previous analyses in several ways that should increase its reliability and scientific value. First, it is large and comprehensive: the data comprise 6944 first nonfatal myocardial infarction (MI) or stroke events and 13 210 deaths (cause-*The Authors/Writing Committee, Authors/Members, and Other Members of the Fibrinogen Studies Collaboration are listed at the end of this article.
Systemic markers of inflammation and hemostasis are associated with a progressive decline in general and specific cognitive abilities in older people, independent of major vascular comorbidity.
Background-Prediction of major cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events using conventional risk factor models is limited. Noninvasive measures of subclinical atherosclerosis such as the ankle brachial index (ABI) could improve risk prediction and provide more focused primary prevention strategies. We wished to determine the added value of a low ABI in the prediction of long-term risk of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events and death. Methods and Results-In 1988, 1592 men and women 55 to 74 years of age were randomly selected from the age-sex registers of 11 general practices in Edinburgh, Scotland, and followed up over a period of 12 years for incident events. After adjustment for age and sex, an ABI Յ0.9 was predictive of an increased risk of fatal myocardial infarction (MI), cardiovascular death, all-cause death, combined fatal and nonfatal MI, and total cardiovascular events. After further adjustment for prevalent cardiovascular disease, diabetes, and conventional risk factors, a low ABI was independently predictive of the risk of fatal MI. Addition of the ABI significantly (PՅ0.01) increased the predictive value of the model for fatal MI compared with a model containing risk factors alone. Comparison of areas under receiver operator characteristic curves confirmed that a model including the ABI discriminated marginally better than one without. Conclusions-Addition of the ABI significantly improved prediction of fatal MI over and above that of conventional risk factors. We recommend that the ABI be incorporated into routine cardiovascular screening and that the potential of its inclusion into cardiovascular scoring systems (with a view to improving their accuracy) now be examined.
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