This study aims to analyze the impact of ASEAN-China Free Trade Area (ACFTA) on the 4 major exports of plantation commodities (including the commodities of coffee, cocoa, rubber, and palm oil) in Indonesia. The trade impact is measured based on the occurrence of trade creation or trade diversion. The negative coefficient as the result of dummy FTA (Free Trade Area) measurement indicates the presence of trade diversion. Meanwhile, the positive coefficient indicates the presence of trade creation. This study examines the export of major plantation commodities of Indonesia to China and compared with the 10 major export destination countries worldwide. The findings show that trade creation exists within the commodities of coffee, rubber, and palm oil while the trade diversion exists in the commodity of cocoa.
Indonesia is known as an agrarian country, should rely on the agricultural sector as an economic source as well as supporting development. In addition to the economic aspects, the progress of agriculture is also very important for the provision of nutrients for the maintenance and improvement of public health. This study uses the Location Quotient method to obtain a base subsector in the agricultural sector, so that the results can be used as material for consideration of export specialties. This study uses East Java GRDP data and as a comparison using Indonesia's GRDP in 2010-2016. The results in this study indicate that the food crop and livestock sub-sector has an advantage compared to other sub-sectors and becomes a subsector of the base, so that these two sub-sectors can be used as export products for East Java.
Pergerakan nilai tukar dipengaruhi oleh beberapa faktor baik yang bersifat ekonomi maupun non ekonomi. Salah satunya adalah jumlah cadangan devisa dan remitansi TKI. Nilai tukar rupiah dari tahun 2008-2017 semakin mengalami depresiasi hal ini disebabkan oleh beberapa faktor antara lain cadangan devisa dan remitansi TKI. Jumlah cadangan devisa dari tahun 2008-2017 mengalami fluktuasi namun cenderung mengalami peningkatan sementara penerimaan devisa dari remitansi (pengiriman pendapatan TKI ke keluarga) TKI juga mengalami kenaikan di setiap tahunnya. Studi ini bertujuan untuk menentukan pengaruh cadangan devisa dan remitansi TKI terhadap nilai tukar rupiah dalam periode 2008-2017. Dengan menggunakan data runtut waktu triwulan menggunakan metode regresi linear berganda. Hasil studi ini menunjukkan beberapa konklusi yaitu terdapat pengaruh antara cadangan devisa dan remitansi TKI terhadap nilai tukar mata uang Indonesia. Dari kedua variabel independen tersebut yang memiliki pengaruh paling besar adalah remitansi TKI dibandingkan dengan cadangan devisa. Kedua variabel memiliki pengaruh yang berbeda terhadap nilai tukar rupiah, dimana pada jumlah cadangan devisa memiliki hubungan negative sementara pada nilai remitansi memiliki hubungan positif dengan nilai tukar rupiah.
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