We argue that comparison with observations of theoretical models for the velocity distribution of pulsars must be done directly with the observed quantities, i.e. parallax and the two components of proper motion. We develop a formalism to do so, and apply it to pulsars with accurate VLBI measurements. We find that a distribution with two maxwellians improves significantly on a single maxwellian. The 'mixed' model takes into account that pulsars move away from their place of birth, a narrow region around the galactic plane. The best model has 42% of the pulsars in a maxwellian with average velocity σ √ 8/π = 120 km/s, and 58% in a maxwellian with average velocity 540 km/s. About 5% of the pulsars has a velocity at birth less than 60 km/s. For the youngest pulsars (τ c < 10 Myr), these numbers are 32% with 130 km/s, 68% with 520 km/s, and 3%, with appreciable uncertainties.
We study the last-passage growth model on the planar integer lattice with exponential weights. With boundary conditions that represent the equilibrium exclusion process as seen from a particle right after its jump we prove that the variance of the last-passage time in a characteristic direction is of order t 2/3 . With more general boundary conditions that include the rarefaction fan case we show that the last-passage time fluctuations are still of order t 1/3 , and also that the transversal fluctuations of the maximal path have order t 2/3 . We adapt and then build on a recent study of Hammersley's process by Cator and Groeneboom, and also utilize the competition interface introduced by Ferrari, Martin and Pimentel. The arguments are entirely probabilistic, and no use is made of the combinatorics of Young tableaux or methods of asymptotic analysis.
Since the Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) epidemic threshold is not precisely defined in spite of its practical importance, the classical SIS epidemic process has been generalized to the ε−SIS model, where a node possesses a self-infection rate ε, in addition to a link infection rate β and a curing rate δ. The exact Markov equations are derived, from which the steady state can be computed. The major advantage of the ε−SIS model is that its steady state is different from the absorbing (or overall-healthy state) and approximates, for a certain range of small ε > 0, the in reality observed phase transition, also called the "metastable" state, that is characterized by the epidemic threshold. The exact steady-state analysis for the complete graph illustrates the effect of small ε and the quality of the first-order mean-field approximation, the N -intertwined model, proposed earlier. Apart from duality principles, often used in the mathematical literature, we present an exact recursion relation for the Markov infinitesimal generator.
We show that, for a stationary version of Hammersley's process, with Poisson "sources" on the positive x-axis, and Poisson "sinks" on the positive y-axis, an isolated second-class particle, located at the origin at time zero, moves asymptotically, with probability 1, along the characteristic of a conservation equation for Hammersley's process. This allows us to show that Hammersley's process without sinks or sources, as defined by Aldous and Diaconis [Probab. Theory Related Fields 10 (1995) 199-213] converges locally in distribution to a Poisson process, a result first proved in Aldous and Diaconis (1995) by using the ergodic decomposition theorem and a construction of Hammersley's process as a one-dimensional point process, developing as a function of (continuous) time on the whole real line. As a corollary we get the result that EL(t, t)/t converges to 2, as t → ∞, where L(t, t) is the length of a longest North-East path from (0, 0) to (t, t). The proofs of these facts need neither the ergodic decomposition theorem nor the subadditive ergodic theorem. We also prove a version of Burke's theorem for the stationary process with sources and sinks and briefly discuss the relation of these results with the theory of longest increasing subsequences of random permutations.
Abstract. We construct space-time stationary solutions of the 1D Burgers equation with random forcing in the absence of periodicity or any other compactness assumptions. More precisely, for the forcing given by a homogeneous Poissonian point field in space-time we prove that there is a unique global solution with any prescribed average velocity. These global solutions serve as one-point random attractors for the infinite-dimensional dynamical system associated to solutions to the Cauchy problem. The probability distribution of the global solutions defines a stationary distribution for the corresponding Markov process. We describe a broad class of initial Cauchy data for which the distribution of the Markov process converges to the above stationary distribution.Our construction of the global solutions is based on a study of the field of action-minimizing curves. We prove that for an arbitrary value of the average velocity, with probability 1 there exists a unique field of action-minimizing curves initiated at all of the Poissonian points. Moreover action-minimizing curves corresponding to different starting points merge with each other in finite time.
The classical, continuous-time susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) Markov epidemic model on an arbitrary network is extended to incorporate infection and curing or recovery times each characterized by a general distribution (rather than an exponential distribution as in Markov processes). This extension, called the generalized SIS (GSIS) model, is believed to have a much larger applicability to real-world epidemics (such as information spread in online social networks, real diseases, malware spread in computer networks, etc.) that likely do not feature exponential times. While the exact governing equations for the GSIS model are difficult to deduce due to their non-Markovian nature, accurate mean-field equations are derived that resemble our previous Nintertwined mean-field approximation (NIMFA) and so allow us to transfer the whole analytic machinery of the NIMFA to the GSIS model. In particular, we establish the criterion to compute the epidemic threshold in the GSIS model. Moreover, we show that the average number of infection attempts during a recovery time is the more natural key parameter, instead of the effective infection rate in the classical, continuous-time SIS Markov model. The relative simplicity of our mean-field results enables us to treat more general types of SIS epidemics, while offering an easier key parameter to measure the average activity of those general viral agents.
We show that, for a stationary version of Hammersley's process, with Poisson sources on the positive x-axis and Poisson sinks on the positive y-axis, the variance of the length of a longest weakly North-East path L(t, t) from (0, 0) to (t, t) is equal to 2E(t − X(t))+, where X(t) is the location of a second class particle at time t. This implies that both E(t − X(t))+ and the variance of L(t, t) are of order t 2/3 . Proofs are based on the relation between the flux and the path of a second class particle, continuing the approach of Cator and Groeneboom [Ann. Probab. 33 (2005) 879-903].
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