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BACKGROUND: Induction of labor is one of the most common interventions in modern obstetrics, and its frequency is expected to continue to increase. There is inconsistency as to how failed induction of labor is defined; however, the majority of studies define success as the achievement of vaginal delivery. Induction of labor in nulliparous women poses an additional challenge with a 15% to 20% incidence of failure, ending in emergency operative deliveries. The Bishop score has been traditionally used before decisions for induction of labor. Nonetheless, it is subjective and prone to marked interobserver variation. Several studies have been conducted to find alternative predictors, yet a reliable, objective method still remains to be introduced and validated. Hence, there is still a need for the development of new predictive tools to facilitate informed decision making, optimization of resources, and minimization of potential risks of failure. Furthermore, a peripartum transperineal ultrasound scan has been proven to provide objective, noninvasive assessment of labor. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to assess the feasibility of developing and validating an objective and reproducible model for the prediction of cesarean delivery for failure to progress as an outcome of labor induction in term singleton pregnancies. STUDY DESIGN: This was a prospective observational cohort study conducted in Cairo University Hospitals and University of Bologna Hospitals between November 2018 and November 2019. We recruited 382 primigravidae with singleton term pregnancies in cephalic presentation. All patients had baseline Bishop scoring together with various transabdominal and transperineal ultrasound assessments of the fetus, maternal cervix, and pelvic floor. The managing obstetricians were blinded to the ultrasound scan findings. The method and indication of induction of labor, the total duration of stages of labor, mode of birth, and neonatal outcomes were all recorded. Women who had operative delivery for fetal distress or indications other than failure to progress in labor were excluded from the final analysis, leaving a total of 344 participants who were randomly divided into 243 and 101 pregnancies that constituted the model development and cross-validation groups, respectively. RESULTS: It was possible to perform transabdominal and transperineal scans and assess all the required parameters on all study participants. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used for selection of potential predictors and model fitting. The independent predictive variables for cesarean delivery included maternal age (odds ratio, 1.12; P¼.003), cervical length (odds ratio, 1.08; P¼.04), angle of progression at rest (odds ratio, 0.9; P¼.001), and occiput posterior position (odds ratio, 5.7; P¼.006). We tested the performance of the prediction model on our cross-validation group. The calculated areas under the curve for the ability of the model to predict cesarean delivery were 0.7969 (95% confidence interval, 0.71e0.87) and 0.88 (95% confidence inte...

Objectives To evaluate the association between pelvic floor dimensions in nulliparous women at term and fetal head engagement, as assessed by transperineal ultrasound. Methods This was a prospective observational study of nulliparous women at term. Before the onset of labor, transperineal ultrasound was used to measure the anteroposterior diameter (APD) of the levator hiatus and the angle of progression (AoP) at rest, on maximum pelvic floor muscle contraction and on maximum Valsalva maneuver (before and after visual feedback). We assessed the correlation between pelvic floor static and dynamic dimensions (levator hiatal APD and levator ani muscle coactivation) and AoP, which is an objective index of fetal head engagement. Results In total, 282 women were included in the analysis. Among these, 211 (74.8%) women had a vaginal delivery while 71 (25.2%) had a Cesarean delivery. AoP was narrower in the Cesarean‐delivery group at rest, on maximum pelvic floor muscle contraction and on maximum Valsalva, whereas no differences in levator hiatal APD were found between the two groups. We found a negative correlation between levator hiatal APD at rest, on maximum pelvic floor muscle contraction and on maximum Valsalva and the duration of the second stage of labor. There was a positive correlation between AoP and levator hiatal APD on maximum Valsalva maneuver after visual feedback (r = 0.15, P = 0.01). Women with levator ani muscle contraction on Valsalva maneuver (i.e. coactivation), both pre and post visual feedback, had a narrower AoP at rest and on maximum Valsalva. After visual feedback, women with levator ani muscle coactivation had a longer second stage of labor than did those without (80.8 ± 61.4 min vs 62.9 ± 43.4 min (P = 0.04)). Conclusions Smaller pelvic floor dimensions and levator ani muscle coactivation are associated with higher fetal head station and with a longer second stage of labor in nulliparous women at term. Copyright © 2020 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

The aim of the present study was to evaluate the correlation between the proportional change of anteroposterior diameter (APD) of levator hiatus from rest to maximum Valsalva maneuver in nulliparous women at term and labor outcome. Methods: We prospectively recruited nulliparous women at term before the onset of labor. Women underwent a two-dimensional transperineal ultrasound, measuring the APD of the levator hiatus at rest and under maximum Valsalva's maneuver. APD change from rest to maximum Valsalva was described both in terms of absolute figures and proportional change. Correlation of APD change with the mode of delivery and with labor durations was assessed. Results: Overall, 486 women were included in the analysis. No significant association between change in APD and the mode of delivery. We found a significant negative correlation between change of APD from rest to Valsalva and the duration of active second stage both in terms of absolute change (Pearson's r = −0.138, P = .009) and in terms of proportional change (Pearson's r = −0.154, P = .004). Survival outcomes based on Cox-regression model showed that APD was independently associated with the duration of active second stage of labor after adjusting for epidural analgesia, maternal age

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Objective To validate the performance of a first‐trimester simple risk score based on the ASPRE trial algorithm for pre‐eclampsia. Design Multicentre retrospective cohort analysis. Setting Four Italian hospitals. Population Unselected nulliparous women at 11–13 weeks of gestation from January 2014 through to January 2018. Methods Model performance was evaluated based on discrimination and calibration. Main outcome measures Delivery before 37 weeks of gestation with a diagnosis of pre‐eclampsia. Results Based on 73 preterm pre‐eclampsia cases and 7546 controls (including 101 cases of late pre‐eclampsia), the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve was 0.659 (95% CI 0.579–0.726). The sensitivity was 32.9% (95% CI 22.1–43.7) at a false‐positive rate of 8.8%. The positive likelihood ratio was 3.74 (95% CI 2.67–5.23), the positive predictive value was 3.49% (95% CI 2.12–4.86%) and the negative predictive value was 99.3% (95% CI 99.1–99.5%). The sensitivity and positive likelihood ratio were approximately 40% lower than in the original study. The calibration analysis showed a good agreement between observed and expected risks (P = 0.037). Comparison with the Fetal Medicine Foundation (FMF) algorithm yielded a difference in the area under the curve of 0.084 (P = 0.007). Conclusions In our Italian population, the simple risk score had a lower performance than expected for the prediction of preterm pre‐eclampsia in nulliparous women. The FMF algorithm applied to the same data set resulted in a better prediction. Tweetable abstract Simple risk score predicts preterm pre‐eclampsia in Italy.

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