HIV prevalence estimates for pregnant women from unlinked anonymous surveys are becoming increasingly available and can be used to determine the prevalence of HIV in women in the same population. The ratio of prevalence in pregnant women to that in all women is influenced by HIV-related risk behaviours that are different for pregnant and nonpregnant women and also by differences in fertility level among infected and uninfected women. This ratio is affected by biases that are likely to be culturally and socially specific. A model is proposed for the qualification and quantification of these biases and hence the estimation of general female population prevalence from serosurveillance data on pregnant women.
Application of HIV seroprevalences from pregnant women to whole populations may need adjustment for fertility rates among HIV-infected women. A general method for this has been derived and validated. Gathering fertility data for HIV-infected women is a useful adjunct to serosurveillance.
There are substantial levels of early sexual initiation, intergenerational sex among females and multiple partnerships among males, while condom use is inconsistent. Efforts to promote delay in sexual initiation, partner reduction and consistent condom use should be supplemented with initiatives against harmful gender norms, child abuse and transactional sex and skills to negotiate safe sex. Standardization of survey methods to facilitate cross-study comparisons should continue and encompass additional risk factors such as transactional sex, gender-based violence, drug use and HIV treatment adherence.
BackgroundLimited specimen collection and testing for influenza occurred in the English and Dutch‐speaking Caribbean countries prior to the 2009/2010 influenza pandemic. Caribbean Epidemiology Centre (CAREC) member countries rapidly mobilized to collect specimens during the pandemic and a vast majority of confirmed cases during the pandemic period were influenza A(H1N1)pdm09.ObjectivesTo describe the aetiology and distribution of acute respiratory illness (ARI) among laboratory confirmed cases during the first year after the 2009/2010 influenza pandemic in the English‐ and Dutch‐speaking Caribbean.ResultsIn total, 774 specimens were tested and 394 (52.7%) cases had positive laboratory confirmation. Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) (28.4%) and influenza A(H3N2) (23.1%) were most frequently detected. RSV activity peaked in July 2011 while influenza A(H3N2) peaked in October 2010. Influenza was responsible for illness in greater numbers in persons 15–64 years while RSV was seen in primarily in children <5 years and adults >65 years. Other agents confirmed include rhinovirus (12.9%), influenza B (10.9%) and influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 (9.4%).ConclusionsRSV and influenza A(H3N2) were the most common viruses identified during the first year after the influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 pandemic. Influenza was detected every month with peak activity corresponding to that typically seen in North America (October to March). In order to determine the seasonality of influenza and RSV, laboratory data from subsequent years and increased specimen submission is needed.
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