Chronic inflammation is postulated to be involved in development of end stage renal disease (ESRD) in diabetes, but which specific circulating inflammatory proteins contribute to this risk remains unknown. To study this we examined 194 circulating inflammatory proteins in subjects from three independent cohorts with Type 1 and Type 2 diabetes. In each cohort we identified an extremely robust K idney R isk I nflammatory S ignature (KRIS) consisting of 17 novel proteins enriched for TNF Receptor Superfamily members that was associated with a 10-year risk of ESRD. All these proteins had a systemic, non-kidney source. Our prospective study findings provide strong evidence that KRIS proteins contribute to the inflammatory process underlying ESRD development in both types of diabetes. These proteins may be used as new therapeutic targets, new prognostic tests for high risk of ESRD and as surrogate outcome measures where changes in KRIS levels during intervention can reflect the tested therapy’s effectiveness.

We investigated whether circulating TGF-β1–regulated miRNAs detectable in plasma are associated with the risk of rapid progression to end-stage renal disease (ESRD) in a cohort of proteinuric patients with type 1 diabetes (T1D) and normal eGFR. Plasma specimens obtained at entry to the study were examined in two prospective subgroups that were followed for 7–20 years (rapid progressors and nonprogressors), as well as a reference panel of normoalbuminuric T1D patients. Of the five miRNAs examined in this study, let-7c-5p and miR-29a-3p were significantly associated with protection against rapid progression and let-7b-5p and miR-21-5p were significantly associated with the increased risk of ESRD. In logistic analysis, controlling for HbA1c and other covariates, let-7c-5p and miR-29a-3p were associated with more than a 50% reduction in the risk of rapid progression (P ≤ 0.001), while let-7b-5p and miR-21-5p were associated with a >2.5-fold increase in the risk of ESRD (P ≤ 0.005). This study is the first prospective study to demonstrate that circulating TGF-β1–regulated miRNAs are deregulated early in T1D patients who are at risk for rapid progression to ESRD.