Increased bone turnover has been suggested as a potential risk factor for osteoporotic fractures. We investigated this hypothesis in a prospective cohort study performed on 7598 healthy women more than 75 years of age. One hundred and twenty-six women (mean years 82.5) who sustained a hip fracture during a mean 22-month follow-up were age-matched with three controls who did not fracture. Baseline samples were collected prior to fracture for the measurement of two markers of bone formation and three urinary markers of bone resorption: type I collagen cross-linked N- (NTX) or C-telopeptide (CTX) and free deoxypyridinoline (free D-Pyr). Elderly women had increased bone formation and resorption compared with healthy premenopausal women. Urinary excretion of CTX and free D-Pyr, but not other markers, was higher in patients with hip fracture than in age-matched controls (p = 0.02 and 0.005, respectively). CTX and free D-Pyr excretion above the upper limit of the premenopausal range was associated with an increased hip fracture risk with an odds ratio (95% confidence interval) of 2.2 (1.3-3.6) and 1.9 (1.1-3.2), respectively, while markers of formation were not. Increased bone resorption predicted hip fracture independently of bone mass, i.e., after adjustment for femoral neck bone mineral density (BMD) and independently of mobility status assessed by the gait speed. Women with both a femoral BMD value of 2.5 SD or more below the mean of young adults and either high CTX or high free D-Pyr levels were at greater risk of hip fracture, with an odds ratio of 4.8 and 4.1, respectively, than those with only low BMD or high bone resorption. Elderly women are characterized by increased bone turnover, and some markers of bone resorption predict the subsequent risk of hip fracture independently of hip BMD. Combining the measurement of BMD and bone resorption may be useful to improve the assessment of the risk of hip fracture in elderly women.
We conducted a population-based cohort study in 7598 white healthy women, aged 75 years and over, recruited from the voting lists. We measured at baseline bone mineral density (BMD g/cm2) of the proximal femur (neck, trochanter and Ward's triangle) and the whole body, as well as fat and lean body mass, by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA). One hundred and fifty-four women underwent a hip fracture during an average 2 years follow-up. Each standard deviation decrease in BMD increased the risk of hip fracture adjusted for age, weight and centre by 1.9 (95% CL 1.5, 2.3) for the femoral neck, 2.6 times (2.0, 3.3) for the trochanter, 1.8 times (1.4, 2.2) for Ward's triangle, 1.6 times (1.2, 2.0) for the whole body, and 1.3 times (1.0, 1.5) for the fat mass. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were not significantly different between trochanter and femoral neck BMD, whereas ROC curves of femoral neck and trochanter BMD were significantly better than those for Ward's triangle and whole-body BMD. Women who sustained an intertrochanteric fracture were older (84 +/- 4.5 years) than women who had a cervical fracture (81 +/- 4.5 years) and trochanter BMD seemed to be a stronger predictor of intertrochanteric ([RR = 4.5 (3.1, 6.5)] than cervical fractures ([RR = 1.8 (1.5, 2.3]). In very elderly women aged 80 years and more, hip BMD was still a significant predictor of hip fracture but the relative risk was significantly lower than in women younger than 80 years. In the 48% of women who had a femoral neck BMD T-score less than -2.5, the relative risk of hip fracture was increased by 3, and the unadjusted incidence of hip fracture was 16.4 per 1000 woman-years compared with 1.1 in the population with a femoral neck BMD T-score > or = -1.
This paper reports the findings of a study of head trauma conducted over a one-year period within a defined region with a population of 2.7 million (Aquitaine, France). It includes cases resulting in death prior to hospitalization or requiring hospitalization. During the one-year period, 391 deaths and 8549 hospital admissions due to head trauma occurred, yielding an annual estimate of 8940 head-injured people. The immediate case-fatality rate was 4.4%. Among non-fatal cases, 80% were mild, 11% moderate and 9% severe. The overall annual incidence was 281/100,000 in both sexes (384 and 185/100,000 in males and females respectively). The annual death rate was 22/100,000 (33 and 12, respectively). Patterns of incidence by age and sex were in general agreement with earlier studies. The main causes of head trauma were traffic accidents (60%) and falls (33%). One-third of hospitalized patients had no injury other than the head trauma. The most frequently associated injuries were those involving extremities, whereas the most severe were those involving the abdomen. The Injury Severity Score (ISS) ranged from 4 to 66, with a mean of 9 and a median of 5. At the eighth day following injury, 25% of hospital-treated patients were still hospitalized and 2% had died. The outcome correlated well with the ISS.
Vertebral fracture epidemiology should be considered separately in relation to fractures that become clinically apparent from those that a(e detected by populatlon screening. Study of the former provides data on the health service burden from the disorder whilst investigation of the latter may be more valuable in studying etiology and identifying predictors of further fractures.
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