This study focuses on the Kuibyshev reservoir (Volga River basin, Russia)—the largest in Eurasia and the third in the world by area (6150 km2). The objective of this paper is to quantitatively assess the dynamics of reservoir bank landslides and shoreline abrasion at active zones based on the integrated use of modern instrumental methods (i.e., terrestrial laser scanning—TLS, unmanned aerial vehicle—UAV, and a global navigation satellite system—GNSS) and GIS analysis of historical imagery. A methodology for the application of different methods of instrumental assessment of abrasion and landslide processes is developed. Different approaches are used to assess the intensity of landslide and abrasion processes: the specific volume and material loss index, the planar displacement of the bank scarp, and the planar-altitude analysis of displaced soil material based on the analysis of slope profiles. Historical shoreline position (1958, 1985, and 1987) was obtained from archival aerial photo data, whereas data for 1975, 1993, 2010, 2011, and 2012 were obtained from high-resolution satellite image interpretation. Field surveys of the geomorphic processes from 2002, 2003, 2005, 2006, 2014 were carried out using Trimble M3 and Trimble VX total stations; in 2012–2014 and 2019 TLS and UAV surveys were made, respectively. The monitoring of landslide processes showed that the rate of volumetric changes at Site 1 remained rather stable during the measurement period with net material losses of 0.03–0.04 m−3 m−2 yr−1. The most significant contribution to the average annual value of the material loss was snowmelt runoff. The landslide scarp retreat rate at Site 2 showed a steady decreasing trend, due to partial overgrowth of the landslide accumulation zone resulting in its relative stabilization. The average long-term landslide scarp retreat rate is—2.3 m yr−1. In 2019 earthworks for landscaping at this site have reduced the landslide intensity by more than 2.5 times to—0.84 m yr−1.
The paper describes river runoff modeling for a plains region of the European territory of Russia (ETR), as well as a prediction for ungauged drainage basins. The study of river runoff is one of the key research objectives in determining the patterns of sediment yield formation. Among many other zonal factors, river runoff is considered to be the main factor in sediment yield formation in a humid climate. In this study, modeling results for the entire European territory of Russia and various landscape zones are presented via the use of multiple regression methods. Multiple regression methods do not require the mathematical description of the main physical processes of runoff formation in terms of their spatial heterogeneity. At the same time, such methods can be distinguished by their simplicity in terms of determining parameters and providing clear interpretations of the results. The research methodology in this work is based on a drainage basin approach. Initial data for the river runoff and its formation factors are presented in the open-access geoinformation database "Drainage basins of the European territory of Russia", which has been created earlier by the authors. The river runoff geodatabase was formed with results from 1440 gauging stations. The independent variables, such as the relief morphometric characteristics, climatic indicators reflecting average values, scale, seasonal variations, extreme values of temperature and precipitation, percentage of forest and swamp cover, plowing, percentage of meadows, assessment of the anthropogenic impact on the drainage basin, geographical coordinates of the centroid, prevailing soil type, type of soil-forming rock, and class of pre-Quaternary deposits are used for modeling here. Data processing and model development is conducted using the R software environment. Models obtained by linear and nonlinear methods explain about 85-88% of data variability and are well interpreted in terms of the water balance equation. It is found here that the most significant predictors in the model are annual precipitation, the sum of the active temperatures (characterizing runoff losses via evaporation), average slope gradient, and the forest cover of the catchment. For Environmental Resources Management, it is required that data for river runoff are collected at the local (municipal) level. The results for the extrapolation of the river runoff values to ungauged river basins in a plains region of the European territory of Russia are presented here. Calculations of predicted values for the river runoff are given based on the obtained discharge per unit area logarithm model. The model and its cartographic representation reflect the patterns of the spatial distribution of river runoff for the level of spatial detail accepted in the study. The methods applied in this study and the results obtained could be used for similar studies of plains territories across the world.
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