Dengue is the most prevalent arboviral disease of humans. The host and virus variables associated with dengue virus (DENV) transmission from symptomatic dengue cases (n = 208) to Aedes aegypti mosquitoes during 407 independent exposure events was defined. The 50% mosquito infectious dose for each of DENV-1-4 ranged from 6.29 to 7.52 log10 RNA copies/mL of plasma. Increasing day of illness, declining viremia, and rising antibody titers were independently associated with reduced risk of DENV transmission. High early DENV plasma viremia levels in patients were a marker of the duration of human infectiousness, and blood meals containing high concentrations of DENV were positively associated with the prevalence of infectious mosquitoes 14 d after blood feeding. Ambulatory dengue cases had lower viremia levels compared with hospitalized dengue cases but nonetheless at levels predicted to be infectious to mosquitoes. These data define serotype-specific viremia levels that vaccines or drugs must inhibit to prevent DENV transmission.engue is globally the most important mosquito-borne viral disease of humans, with a global burden of ∼100 million cases per annum (1, 2). Aedes aegypti mosquitoes are the primary mosquito vectors of dengue viruses (DENV), of which there are four virus types (DENV-1-4). Multiple factors influence the likelihood of infection and dissemination of DENV in Ae. aegypti and include the amplitude of daily temperature fluctuations (3), mean temperature (4), and the genotype of mosquito and virus (5), among others (6). The extrinsic incubation period (EIP), a critical determinant of vector competence (7,8), is widely accepted to be 7-14 d for DENV in Ae. aegypti, although a recent modeling analysis of historical DENV transmission data has suggested a wider range of 2-15 d at 30°C (9). A major caveat to many of these observations is that they stem from laboratory experiments with artificially generated virus-spiked blood meals and often in-bred colony mosquitoes.The temporal and virological variables associated with the transmission of DENV from a naturally infected human to a biting Ae. aegypti mosquito are poorly understood. Natural history studies of experimental DENV infection of small cohorts of human volunteers in the 1920s by Siler et al. (10,11), likely using DENV-4 (12), and subsequent studies by Simmons et al. (13), likely using DENV-1 (12), suggested that the window of time before the onset of clinical symptoms that DENV-1 or DENV-4 could be transmitted to Ae. aegypti mosquitoes was 6-18 h or 2 d, respectively (14). After fever onset, the duration of infectiousness was 4-5 d for DENV-1 and up to 2 d for DENV-4, with an EIP in the mosquito of 10 d or more. Consistent with this, mosquitobiting studies by Gubler et al. in the 1960s (15-18) collectively estimated that dengue cases were infectious for 4-5 d after illness onset (range, 2-12 d). The human viremia level required to infect Ae. aegypti mosquitoes is unknown, and therefore it is uncertain what percentage of symptomatic (or asymptomatic...

Dengue is the most common arboviral infection of humans and a public health burden in over 100 countries. Aedes aegypti mosquitoes stably infected with strains of the intracellular bacterium Wolbachia are resistant to dengue virus (DENV) infection and are being tested in field trials. To mimic field conditions, we experimentally assessed the vector competence of A. aegypti carrying the Wolbachia strains wMel and wMelPop after challenge with viremic blood from dengue patients. We found that wMelPop conferred strong resistance to DENV infection of mosquito abdomen tissue and largely prevented disseminated infection. wMel conferred less resistance to infection of mosquito abdomen tissue, but importantly did reduce the prevalence of mosquitoes with infectious saliva. A mathematical model of DENV transmission incorporating the dynamics of viral infection within humans and mosquitoes was fitted to the data collected. Model predictions suggested that wMel would reduce the basic reproduction number, R0, of DENV transmission by 66–75%. Our results suggest that establishment of wMelPop-infected A. aegypti at high frequency in a dengue endemic setting would result in complete abatement of DENV transmission. Establishment of wMel-infected A. aegypti is also predicted to have a substantial effect on transmission that would be sufficient to eliminate dengue in low or moderate transmission settings, but may be insufficient to achieve complete control in settings where R0 is high. These findings develop a framework for selecting Wolbachia strains for field releases and for calculating their likely impact.

SignificanceIn laboratory experiments, Wolbachia (wMel strain)-infected Aedes aegypti are refractory to disseminated arboviral infections. Yet previous characterizations of wMel-mediated blocking have not considered several biologically and ecologically important factors likely to influence the virus–mosquito interaction. After direct feeding on 141 viremic dengue patients, we demonstrate wMel lowers dengue virus (DENV) transmission potential and lengthens the extrinsic incubation period. Subsequently, using established field populations of wild-type and wMel-infected Ae. aegypti, we compared field- versus laboratory-rearing conditions on mosquito susceptibility to disseminated DENV infection. The magnitude of wMel-mediated virus blocking was even greater when mosquitoes developed under field conditions. These clinically and ecologically relevant findings support Wolbachia introgression into Ae. aegypti populations as a biocontrol method to reduce the transmission of DENV and other arboviruses.

Dengue is an infection of increasing global importance, yet uncertainty remains regarding critical aspects of its virology, immunology and epidemiology. One unanswered question is how infection is controlled and cleared during a dengue infection. Antibody is thought to play a role, but little past work has examined the kinetics of both virus and antibody during natural infections. We present data on multiple virus and antibody titres measurements recorded sequentially during infection from 53 Vietnamese dengue patients. We fit mechanistic mathematical models of the dynamics of viral replication and the host immune response to these data. These models fit the data well. The model with antibody removing virus fits the data best, but with a role suggested for ADCC or other infected cell clearance mechanisms. Our analysis therefore shows that the observed viral and antibody kinetics are consistent with antibody playing a key role in controlling viral replication. This work gives quantitative insight into the relationship between antibody levels and the efficiency of viral clearance. It will inform the future development of mechanistic models of how vaccines and antivirals might modify the course of natural dengue infection.