In this paper an 11-year series of daily values of diffuse solar radiation registered at 8 actinometric stations in Poland was used to describe the characteristics of diffuse radiation and diffuse fraction of global radiation for the area of Poland. Based on the monthly average daily diffuse, global and extraterrestrial solar radiation a linear relationship between these elements was determined. The obtained equation enables the calculation of the monthly average daily diffuse solar radiation for Poland and the application of its values to further climatology studies.
The aim of the study was to calibrate coefficients and evaluate performance of simple, day-of-the-year, global solar radiation (H) models nominated from the literature. Day-of-the-year models enable estimation of global solar radiation when no meteorological data is available. The study used 16-year-long data series of daily H, taken at 15 actinometric stations located in various parts of Poland. The goodness-of-fit of the models to the actual long-term monthly average daily global solar radiation data expressed by determination coefficient (R2) ranges from 0.94 to 0.97. Depending on statistical indicators analysis (root mean square error—RMSE, mean absolute bias error—MABE, mean average percentage error—MAPE) the best model was selected. The averaged values of H computed by the recommended model deviate from those measured by 4.16% to 8.71%. Locally calibrated, day-of-the-year model provides satisfactory accuracy and—where meteorological data is unavailable—can be used to estimate mean monthly daily global solar radiation in Poland and similar climate conditions.
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