Estimating Daily Global Solar Radiation with No Meteorological Data in Poland

Abstract

The aim of the study was to calibrate coefficients and evaluate performance of simple, day-of-the-year, global solar radiation (H) models nominated from the literature. Day-of-the-year models enable estimation of global solar radiation when no meteorological data is available. The study used 16-year-long data series of daily H, taken at 15 actinometric stations located in various parts of Poland. The goodness-of-fit of the models to the actual long-term monthly average daily global solar radiation data expressed by determination coefficient (R2) ranges from 0.94 to 0.97. Depending on statistical indicators analysis (root mean square error—RMSE, mean absolute bias error—MABE, mean average percentage error—MAPE) the best model was selected. The averaged values of H computed by the recommended model deviate from those measured by 4.16% to 8.71%. Locally calibrated, day-of-the-year model provides satisfactory accuracy and—where meteorological data is unavailable—can be used to estimate mean monthly daily global solar radiation in Poland and similar climate conditions.

A Method of Assessing the Selection of Carport Power for an Electric Vehicle Using the Metalog Probability Distribution Family

“…Lubelskie Voivodship characterized by the highest insolation in Poland. Polish conditions regarding the aspe of generating energy from renewable sources were described in detail in [55]. The ave age area air temperature in September 2022 in Poland was 12.3 °C.…”