Today there is an increasing demand for quality health care throughout the world. Such demand requires the medical service industry to equip with high technologies and high caliber professionals (e.g., doctors and nurses), to contain cost and improve quality of care. Since the medical service industry constantly suffers from the shortage of nursing manpower, forecasting the supply and demand of nursing manpower is an important issue. This study proposes a forecasting model for nursing manpower requirement using system dynamics. Data were collected from authorized institutions in Korea and were used as inputs of the model. The results show that the demand for nursing manpower exceeded the supply during the forecasting period (2006-2020), which requires both national and the medical service industry attention for sustained quality health care.
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.