As agricultural regions are threatened by climate change, warming of high latitude regions and increasing food demands may lead to northward expansion of global agriculture. While socio-economic demands and edaphic conditions may govern the expansion, climate is a key limiting factor. Extant literature on future crop projections considers established agricultural regions and is mainly temperature based. We employed growing degree days (GDD), as the physiological link between temperature and crop growth, to assess the global northward shift of agricultural climate zones under 21st-century climate change. Using ClimGen scenarios for seven global climate models (GCMs), based on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and transient GHGs, we delineated the future extent of GDD areas, feasible for small cereals, and assessed the projected changes in rainfall and potential evapotranspiration. By 2099, roughly 76% (55% to 89%) of the boreal region might reach crop feasible GDD conditions, compared to the current 32%. The leading edge of the feasible GDD will shift northwards up to 1200 km by 2099 while the altitudinal shift remains marginal. However, most of the newly gained areas are associated with highly seasonal and monthly variations in climatic water balances, a critical component of any future land-use and management decisions.

Multi-coil electromagnetic induction (EMI) systems induce magnetic fields below and above the subsurface. The resulting magnetic field is measured at multiple coils increasingly separated from the transmitter in a rigid boom. This field relates to the subsurface apparent electrical conductivity (σa), and σa represents an average value for the depth range investigated with a specific coil separation and orientation. Multi-coil EMI data can be inverted to obtain layered bulk electrical conductivity models. However, above-ground stationary influences alter the signal and the inversion results can be unreliable. This study proposes an improved data processing chain, including EMI data calibration, conversion, and inversion. For the calibration of σa, three direct current resistivity techniques are compared: Electrical resistivity tomography with Dipole-Dipole and Schlumberger electrode arrays and vertical electrical soundings. All three methods obtained robust calibration results. The Dipole-Dipole-based calibration proved stable upon testing on different soil types. To further improve accuracy, we propose a non-linear exact EMI conversion to convert the magnetic field to σa. The complete processing workflow provides accurate and quantitative EMI data and the inversions reliable estimates of the intrinsic electrical conductivities. This improves the ability to combine EMI with, e.g., remote sensing, and the use of EMI for monitoring purposes.

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