Watershed modeling in 20 large, United States (U.S.) watersheds addresses gaps in our knowledge of streamflow, nutrient (nitrogen and phosphorus), and sediment loading sensitivity to mid-21st Century climate change and urban/residential development scenarios. Use of a consistent methodology facilitates regional scale comparisons across the study watersheds. Simulations use the Soil and Water Assessment Tool. Climate change scenarios are from the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program dynamically downscaled climate model output. Urban and residential development scenarios are from U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's Integrated Climate and Land Use Scenarios project. Simulations provide a plausible set of streamflow and water quality responses to mid-21st Century climate change across the U.S. Simulated changes show a general pattern of decreasing streamflow volume in the central Rockies and Southwest, and increases on the East Coast and Northern Plains. Changes in pollutant loads follow a similar pattern but with increased variability. Ensemble mean results suggest that by the mid-21st Century, statistically significant changes in streamflow and total suspended solids loads (relative to baseline conditions) are possible in roughly 30-40% of study watersheds. These proportions increase to around 60% for total phosphorus and total nitrogen loads. Projected urban/ residential development, and watershed responses to development, are small at the large spatial scale of modeling in this study.(KEY TERMS: climate change; urban and residential development; streamflow; water quality; sensitivity; assessment; Soil and Water Assessment Tool.)

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Background: The DIC Challenge 2.0 follows on from the work accomplished in the first Digital Image Correlation (DIC) Challenge [1]. The second challenge was required to better quantify the spatial resolution of 2D-DIC codes. Objective : The goal of this paper is to outline the methods and images for the 2D-DIC community to use to evaluate the performance of their codes and improve the implementation of 2D-DIC. Methods : This paper covers the creation of the new challenge images and the analysis and discussion of the results. It proposes a method of unambiguously defining spatial resolution for 2D-DIC and explores the tradeoff between displacement and strain noise (measurement resolution) and spatial resolution for a wide variety of DIC codes by a combination of the images presented here and a performance factor called Metrological Efficiency Indicator (MEI). Results : The performance of the 2D codes generally followed the expected theoretical performance, particularly in the measurement of the displacement. The comparison did however show that even with fairly uniform displacement performance, the calculation of the strain spatial resolution varied widely. Conclusions : This work provides a useful framework for understanding the tradeoff and analyzing the performance of the DIC software using the provided images. It details some of the unique errors associated with the analysis of these images, such as the Pattern Induced Bias (PIB) and imprecision introduced through the strain calculation method. Future authors claiming improvements in 2D accuracy are encouraged to use these images for an unambiguous comparison.

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SummaryA methodology is developed in SPH framework to analyze the behavior of preexisting multiple intersecting discontinuities or joints in rock material. The procedure does not require any additional unknowns to represent discontinuities and to capture velocity jump across them. Instead, a discontinuity is represented by a set of joint particles placed along the discontinuity plane, in which relative velocity and traction vector is evaluated, obeying the Mohr–Coulomb friction law with zero tension constrain. For failure of continuous rock material, the Drucker–Prager yield criterion with tensile cracking is employed in the elastic‐plastic constitutive model. Free‐sip, no‐slip, and symmetric boundary conditions are also implemented in SPH framework for proper representation of physical system.The paper analyzes behavior of a rock sample having a discontinuity plane under uniaxial loading and compares velocity and stress with a theoretical solution derived considering effective vertical stiffness of the joint planes. The efficacy of the proposed method is successfully demonstrated by solving another two problems of jointed rock mass under uniaxial and gravitational loading conditions.Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

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