Background: Microalbuminuria is an early sign of kidney disease in diabetes and indicates cardiovascular risk. We tested if a prespecified urinary proteomic risk classifier (CKD273) was associated with development of microalbuminuria and if progression to microalbuminuria could be prevented with the mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist spironolactone. Methods: Prospective multicentre study in people with type 2 diabetes, normal urinary albumin excretion and preserved renal function in 15 European specialist centres. High-risk individuals determined by CKD273 were randomised 1:1 (interactive web response system) in a double-blind randomised controlled trial comparing spironolactone 25 mg o.d. to placebo. Primary endpoint was development of confirmed microalbuminuria in all individuals with available data. Secondary endpoints included reduction in incidence of microalbuminuria with spironolactone and association between CKD273 and impaired renal function defined as a glomerular filtration rate < 60 ml/min per 1•73 m 2. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT02040441 and is completed. Findings: From March 25, 2014 to September 30, 2018 we followed 1775 participants, 12% (n=216) had high-risk urinary proteomic pattern of which 209 were included in the trial and assigned spironolactone (n=102) or placebo (n=107). Median follow-up time was 2•51 years (IQR 2•0-3•0). Progression to microalbuminuria was seen in 28•2% of high-risk and 8•9% of low-risk people (P< 0•001) (hazard ratio (HR), 2•48; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1•80 to 3•42 P<0•001, independent of baseline clinical characteristics). A 30% decline in eGFR from baseline was seen in 42 (19•4 %) high-risk participants compared to 62 (3•9 %) low-risk participants, HR 5•15; 95 % CI (3•41 to 7•76; p<0.0001). Development of microalbuminuria was seen in 35 (33%) randomised to placebo and 26 (25%) randomised to spironolactone treatment (HR 0•81, 95% CI, 0•49 to 1•34, P=0•41). Harms: hyperkalaemia was seen in 13 versus 4, and gynaecomastia in 3 versus 0 subjects on spironolactone and placebo, respectively. Interpretation: In people with type 2 diabetes and normoalbuminuria, the urinary proteomic classifier CKD273 was associated with a 2•5 times increased risk for progression to microalbuminuria over a median of 2•5 years, independent of clinical characteristics. Spironolactone did not prevent progression to microalbuminuria in high-risk subjects.

Background— Patients with type 1 diabetes mellitus are at increased risk of developing cardiovascular disease (CVD), but they are currently undertreated. There are no risk scores used on a regular basis in clinical practice for assessing the risk of CVD in type 1 diabetes mellitus. Methods and Results— From 4306 clinically diagnosed adult patients with type 1 diabetes mellitus, we developed a prediction model for estimating the risk of first fatal or nonfatal CVD event (ischemic heart disease, ischemic stroke, heart failure, and peripheral artery disease). Detailed clinical data including lifestyle factors were linked to event data from validated national registers. The risk prediction model was developed by using a 2-stage approach. First, a nonparametric, data-driven approach was used to identify potentially informative risk factors and interactions (random forest and survival tree analysis). Second, based on results from the first step, Poisson regression analysis was used to derive the final model. The final CVD prediction model was externally validated in a different population of 2119 patients with type 1 diabetes mellitus. During a median follow-up of 6.8 years (interquartile range, 2.9–10.9) a total of 793 (18.4%) patients developed CVD. The final prediction model included age, sex, diabetes duration, systolic blood pressure, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, hemoglobin A 1c , albuminuria, glomerular filtration rate, smoking, and exercise. Discrimination was excellent for a 5-year CVD event with a C-statistic of 0.826 (95% confidence interval, 0.807–0.845) in the derivation data and a C-statistic of 0.803 (95% confidence interval, 0.767–0.839) in the validation data. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed good calibration ( P >0.05) in both cohorts. Conclusions— This high-performing CVD risk model allows for the implementation of decision rules in a clinical setting.

Background Cardiac fat is a cardiovascular biomarker but its importance in patients with type 2 diabetes is not clear. The aim was to evaluate the predictive potential of epicardial (EAT), pericardial (PAT) and total cardiac (CAT) fat in type 2 diabetes and elucidate sex differences. Methods EAT and PAT were measured by echocardiography in 1030 patients with type 2 diabetes. Follow-up was performed through national registries. The end-point was the composite of incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause mortality. Analyses were unadjusted (model 1), adjusted for age and sex (model 2), plus systolic blood pressure, body mass index (BMI), low-density lipoprotein (LDL), smoking, diabetes duration and glycated hemoglobin (HbA 1c ) (model 3). Results Median follow-up was 4.7 years and 248 patients (191 men vs. 57 women) experienced the composite end-point. Patients with high EAT (> median level) had increased risk of the composite end-point in model 1 [Hazard ratio (HR): 1.46 (1.13; 1.88), p = 0.004], model 2 [HR: 1.31 (1.01; 1.69), p = 0.038], and borderline in model 3 [HR: 1.32 (0.99; 1.77), p = 0.058]. For men, but not women, high EAT was associated with a 41% increased risk of CVD and mortality in model 3 ( p = 0.041). Net reclassification index improved when high EAT was added to model 3 (19.6%, p = 0.035). PAT or CAT were not associated with the end-point. Conclusion High levels of EAT were associated with the composite of incident CVD and mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes, particularly in men, after adjusting for CVD risk factors. EAT modestly improved risk prediction over CVD risk factors.

AimsType 1 diabetes can be complicated with neuropathy that involves immune‐mediated and inflammatory pathways. Glucagon‐like peptide‐1 receptor agonists such as liraglutide, have shown anti‐inflammatory properties, and thus we hypothesized that long‐term treatment with liraglutide induced diminished inflammation and thus improved neuronal function.MethodsThe study was a randomized, double‐blinded, placebo‐controlled trial of adults with type 1 diabetes and confirmed symmetrical polyneuropathy. They were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive either liraglutide or placebo. Titration was 6 weeks to 1.2–1.8 mg/d, continuing for 26 weeks. The primary endpoint was change in latency of early brain evoked potentials. Secondary endpoints were changes in proinflammatory cytokines, cortical evoked potential, autonomic function and peripheral neurophysiological testing.ResultsThirty‐nine patients completed the study, of whom 19 received liraglutide. In comparison to placebo, liraglutide reduced interleukin‐6 (−22.6%; 95% confidence interval [CI]: −38.1, −3.2; P = .025) with concomitant numerical reductions in other proinflammatory cytokines. However neuronal function was unaltered at the central, autonomic or peripheral level. Treatment was associated with −3.38 kg (95% CI: −5.29, −1.48; P < .001] weight loss and a decrease in urine albumin/creatinine ratio (−40.2%; 95% CI: −60.6, −9.5; P = .02).ConclusionHitherto, diabetic neuropathy has no cure. Speculations can be raised whether mechanism targeted treatment, e.g. lowering the systemic level of proinflammatory cytokines may lead to prevention or treatment of the neuroinflammatory component in early stages of diabetic neuropathy. If ever successful, this would serve as an example of how fundamental mechanistic principles are translated into clinical practice similar to those applied in the cardiovascular and nephrological clinic.

Background We evaluated the association of cardiac adipose tissue including epicardial adipose tissue and pericardial adipose tissue with incident cardiovascular disease and mortality, coronary artery calcium, carotid intima media thickness and inflammatory markers. Design A prospective study of 200 patients with type 2 diabetes and elevated urinary albumin excretion rate (UAER). Methods Cardiac adipose tissue was measured from baseline echocardiography. The composite endpoint comprised incident cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality. Coronary artery calcium, carotid intima media thickness and inflammatory markers were measured at baseline. Cardiac adipose tissue was investigated as continuous and binary variable. Analyses were performed unadjusted (model 1), and adjusted for age, sex (model 2), body mass index, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, smoking, glycated haemoglobin, and systolic blood pressure (model 3). Results Patients were followed-up after 6.1 years for non-fatal cardiovascular disease ( n = 29) or mortality ( n = 23). Cardiac adipose tissue ( p = 0.049) and epicardial adipose tissue ( p = 0.029) were associated with cardiovascular disease and mortality in model 1. When split by the median, patients with high cardiac adipose tissue had a higher risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality than patients with low cardiac adipose tissue in unadjusted (hazard ratio 1.9, confidence interval: 1.1; 3.4, p = 0.027) and adjusted (hazard ratio 2.0, confidence interval: 1.1; 3.7, p = 0.017) models. Cardiac adipose tissue ( p =  0.033) was associated with baseline coronary artery calcium (model 1) and interleukin-8 (models 1-3, all p < 0.039). Conclusions In type 2 diabetes patients without coronary artery disease, high cardiac adipose tissue levels were associated with increased risk of incident cardiovascular disease or all-cause mortality even after accounting for traditional cardiovascular disease risk factors. High cardiac adipose tissue amounts were associated with subclinical atherosclerosis (coronary artery calcium) and with the pro-atherogenic inflammatory marker interleukin-8.

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Background: Inhibitors of the sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) slow the progression of diabetic kidney disease, possibly by reducing the proximal tubule transport workload with subsequent improvement of renal oxygenation. We aimed to test this hypothesis in individuals with type 1 diabetes and albuminuria. Methods: A randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, crossover trial with a single 50 mg dose of the SGLT2 inhibitor dapagliflozin and placebo in random order, separated by a two-week washout period. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) was used to assess renal R 2 * (a low value corresponds to a high tissue oxygenation), renal perfusion (arterial spin labelling) and renal artery flow (phase contrast imaging) at baseline, three-and six hours from tablet ingestion. Exploratory outcomes, including baroreflex sensitivity, peripheral blood oxygen saturation, peripheral blood mononuclear cell mitochondrial oxygen consumption rate, and biomarkers of inflammation were evaluated at baseline and 12 h from medication. The study is registered in the EU Clinical Trials Register (EudraCT 2019À004,557À92), on ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT04193566), and is completed. Findings: Between February 3, 2020 and October 23, 2020, 31 individuals were screened, and 19 eligible individuals were randomised. Three dropped out before receiving any of the interventions and one dropped out after receiving only placebo. We included 15 individuals (33% female) in the per-protocol analysis with a mean age of 58 (SD 14) years, median urinary albumin creatinine ratio of 46 [IQR 21À58] mg/g and an eGFR of 73 (32) ml/min/1¢73m 2 . The mean changes in renal cortical R 2 * from baseline to six hours were for dapagliflozin -1¢1 (SD 0¢7) s À1 and for placebo +1¢3 (0¢7) s À1 , resulting in a difference between interventions of -2¢3 s À1 [95% CI -4¢0 to -0¢6]; p = 0¢012. No between-intervention differences were found in any other MRI outcomes, physiological parameters or exploratory outcomes. There were no adverse events. Interpretation: A single dose of 50 mg dapagliflozin acutely improved renal cortical R 2 * without changing renal perfusion or blood flow. This suggests improved renal cortical oxygenation due to a reduced tubular transport workload in the proximal tubules. Such improved oxygenation may in part explain the long-term beneficial renal effects seen with SGLT2 inhibitors, but it remains to be determined whether the observed effects can be achieved with lower doses, with chronic treatment and if they occur in type 2 diabetes as well.

The aim of this study was to investigate the association of epicardial (EAT) and pericardial (PAT) adipose tissues with myocardial function in type 2 diabetes (T2D). EAT and PAT were measured by ultrasound in 770 patients with T2D and 234 age-and sexmatched non-diabetic controls. Echocardiography was performed, including tissue Doppler imaging and 2D speckle tracking. Patients with T2D versus controls had increased EAT (4.6 ± 1.8 mm vs. 3.4 ± 1.2 mm, P < 0.0001) and PAT (6.3 ± 2.8 mm vs. 5.3 ± 2.4 mm, P < 0.0001). EAT and PAT were associated with structural cardiac measures both in T2D patients and controls (all P < 0.043), but only in T2D patients with functional measures: PAT was associated with impaired global longitudinal strain [beta coefficient (SE)] [0.11% (0.04), P = 0.002], while EAT was associated with reduced diastolic function by lateral early diastolic myocardial velocity (e' lat ) [−0.31 (0.05) cm/s, P = 0.001], mitral inflow velocities: peak early (E)/peak atrial (A) ratio [−0.02 (0.01), P = 0.001] and lateral E/e' lat [0.36 (0.10), P < 0.001]. However, no interaction was found between diabetes status and PAT (P = 0.75) or EAT (P = 0.45). Adipose tissue in intimate relation to the myocardium is higher in patients with T2D versus controls and is associated with functional myocardial measures in T2D.