Wildfires are increasing in size and severity and fire seasons are lengthening, largely driven by climate and land-use change. Many plant species from fire-prone ecosystems are adapted to specific fire regimes corresponding to historical conditions and shifts beyond these bounds may have severe impacts on vegetation recovery and long-term species persistence. Here, we conduct a meta-analysis of field-based studies across different vegetation types and climate regions to investigate how post-fire plant recruitment, reproduction and survival are affected by fires that occur outside of the historical fire season. We find that fires outside of the historical fire season may lead to decreased post-fire recruitment, particularly in obligate seeding species. Conversely, we find a general increase in post-fire survival in resprouting species. Our results highlight the trade-offs that exist when considering the effects of changes in the seasonal timing of fire, an already present aspect of climate-related fire regime change.

Population genetics and understanding of mating systems provide fundamental information for conservation planning. Pairing these methods is a powerful tool in the study of threatened species, however, they are rarely applied in concert. We examined the mating system and used molecular genetics to measure pairwise kinship and the potential for inbreeding in Hibbertia spanantha, a critically endangered long‐lived shrub endemic to the Sydney Basin, Australia, as a model for conservation planning of species in highly fragmented populations. In situ hand pollination experiments demonstrated that the species is preferentially outcrossing, with limited ability to self‐pollinate (either autogamously or geitonogamously). Although population genetics confirmed high levels of kinship and clonality, there is currently enough population heterozygosity for successful open pollination, primarily through buzz pollination by Sweat Bees (Lasioglossum [Chilalictus]). High levels of clonality and population kinship in one population may be the cause of reduced fitness, identified because our outcrossing pollination treatment produced significantly more seeds with greater viability and seed mass than the open treatments. Differences in weight of filled (viable) seeds were identified between populations, although not treatments, where clonal dominance may be swamping pollinator foraging activities. Identification of species mating system, population reproductive capacity, and impacts of fragmentation on population genetic health provides a robust basis for strategic planning and conservation of this critically endangered species, including establishment of an ex situ population and genetic rescue through population augmentation. These methods are easily applicable and particularly relevant to other plant species with small populations or those occurring in fragmented systems.

No abstract