Context The impact of Hashimoto thyroiditis (HT) on the risk of thyroid cancer and its accurate detection remains unclear. The presence of a chronic lymphocytic infiltration imparts a logical mechanism potentially altering neoplastic transformation, while also influencing the accuracy of diagnostic evaluation. Methods We performed a prospective, cohort analysis of 9851 consecutive patients with 21,397 nodules ≥1 cm who underwent nodule evaluation between 1995 and 2017. The definition of HT included (i) elevated thyroid peroxidase antibody (TPOAb) level and/or (ii) findings of diffuse heterogeneity on ultrasound, and/or (iii) the finding of diffuse lymphocytic thyroiditis on histopathology. The impact of HT on the distribution of cytology and, ultimately, on malignancy risk was determined. Results A total of 2651 patients (27%) were diagnosed with HT, and 3895 HT nodules and 10,168 non-HT nodules were biopsied. The prevalence of indeterminate and malignant cytology was higher in the HT vs non-HT group (indeterminate: 26.3% vs 21.8%, respectively, P < 0.001; malignant: 10.0% vs 6.4%, respectively, P < 0.001). Ultimately, the risk of any nodule proving malignant was significantly elevated in the setting of HT (relative risk, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.44 to 1.79; P < 0.001), and was maintained when patients with solitary or multiple nodules were analyzed separately (HT vs non-HT: 24.5% vs 16.3% solitary; 22.1% vs 15.4% multinodular; P < 0.01). Conclusion HT increases the risk of thyroid malignancy in any patient presenting for nodule evaluation. Diffuse sonographic heterogeneity and/or TPOAb positivity should be used for risk assessment at time of evaluation.
Context Assessing thyroid nodules for malignancy is complex. The impact of patient and nodule factors on cancer evaluation is uncertain. Objectives To determine precise estimates of cancer risk associated with clinical and sonographic variables obtained during thyroid nodule assessment. Design Analysis of consecutive adult patients evaluated with ultrasound-guided fine-needle aspiration for a thyroid nodule ≥1 cm between 1995 and 2017. Demographics, nodule sonographic appearance, and pathologic findings were collected. Main Outcome Measures Estimated risk for thyroid nodule malignancy for patient and sonographic variables using mixed-effect logistic regression. Results In 9967 patients [84% women, median age 53 years (range 18 to 95)], thyroid cancer was confirmed in 1974 of 20,001 thyroid nodules (9.9%). Significant ORs for malignancy were demonstrated for patient age <52 years [OR: 1.82, 95% CI (1.63 to 2.05), P < 0.0001], male sex [OR: 1.68 (1.45 to 1.93), P < 0.0001], nodule size [OR: 1.30 (1.14 to 1.49) for 20 to 19 mm, OR: 1.59 (1.34 to 1.88) for 30 to 39 mm, and OR: 1.71 (1.43 to 2.04) for ≥40 mm compared with 10 to 19 mm, P < 0.0001 for all], cystic content [OR: 0.43 (0.37 to 0.50) for 25% to 75% cystic and OR: 0.21 (0.15 to 0.28) for >75% compared with predominantly solid, P < 0.0001 for both], and the presence of additional nodules ≥1 cm [OR: 0.69 (0.60 to 0.79) for two nodules, OR: 0.41 (0.34 to 0.49) for three nodules, and OR: 0.19 (0.16 to 0.22) for greater than or equal to four nodules compared with one nodule, P < 0.0001 for all]. A free online calculator was constructed to provide malignancy-risk estimates based on these variables. Conclusions Patient and nodule characteristics enable more precise thyroid nodule risk assessment. These variables are obtained during routine initial thyroid nodule evaluation and provide new insights into individualized thyroid nodule care.
BRAF-positive malignant nodules most often demonstrate worrisome sonographic features and are frequently associated with positive or suspicious Bethesda cytology. In contrast, RAS-positive malignancy most often demonstrates indolent sonographic features and more commonly associates with lower risk, "indeterminate" cytology. Because BRAF and RAS mutations are the most common molecular perturbations associated with well-differentiated thyroid cancer, these findings may assist with improved preoperative risk assessment by suggesting the likely molecular profile of a thyroid cancer, even when postsurgical molecular analysis is unavailable.
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