Fine particulate matter () has a considerable impact on human health, the environment and climate change. It is estimated that with better predictions, US$9 billion can be saved over a 10-year period in the USA (State of the science fact sheet air quality. http://www.noaa.gov/factsheets/new, 2012). Therefore, it is crucial to keep developing models and systems that can accurately predict the concentration of major air pollutants. In this paper, our target is to predict concentration in Japan using environmental monitoring data obtained from physical sensors with improved accuracy over the currently employed prediction models. To do so, we propose a deep recurrent neural network (DRNN) that is enhanced with a novel pre-training method using auto-encoder especially designed for time series prediction. Additionally, sensors selection is performed within DRNN without harming the accuracy of the predictions by taking advantage of the sparsity found in the network. The numerical experiments show that DRNN with our proposed pre-training method is superior than when using a canonical and a state-of-the-art auto-encoder training method when applied to time series prediction. The experiments confirm that when compared against the prediction system VENUS (National Institute for Environmental Studies. Visual Atmospheric Environment Utility System. http://envgis5.nies.go.jp/osenyosoku/, 2014), our technique improves the accuracy of concentration level predictions that are being reported in Japan.
A hybrid Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) that features an automatic termination and better search efficiency than classical PSO is presented. The proposed method is combined with the so-called "Gene Matrix" to provide the search with a self-check in order to determine a proper termination instant. Its convergence speed and reliability are also increased by the implementation of the Principal Component Analysis (PCA) technique and the hybridization with a local search method. The proposed algorithm is denominated as "Automatically Terminated Particle Swarm Optimization with Principal Component Analysis" (AT-PSO-PCA). The computational experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of the automatic termination criteria and show that AT-PSO-PCA enhances the convergence speed, accuracy and reliability of the PSO paradigm. Furthermore, comparisons with state-of-the-art evolutionary algorithms (EA) yield competitive results even under the automatically detected termination instant.
In the last two decades, numerous evolutionary algorithms (EAs) have been developed for solving optimization problems. However, only a few works have focused on the question of the termination criteria. Indeed, EAs still need termination criteria prespecified by the user. In this paper, we develop a genetic algorithm (GA) with automatic termination and acceleration elements which allow the search to end without resort to predefined conditions. We call this algorithm "Genetic Algorithm with Automatic Termination and Search Space Rotation", abbreviated as GATR. This algorithm utilizes the so-called "Gene Matrix" (GM) to equip the search process with a self-check in order to judge how much exploration has been performed, while maintaining the population diversity. The algorithm also implements a mutation operator called "mutagenesis" to achieve more efficient and faster exploration and exploitation processes. Moreover, GATR fully exploits the structure of the GM by calling a novel search space decomposition mechanism combined with a search space rotation procedure. As a result, the search operates strictly within two-dimensional subspaces irrespective of the dimension of the original problem. The computational experiments and comparisons with some state-of-the-art EAs demonstrate the effectiveness of the automatic termination criteria and the space decomposition mechanism of GATR.
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