This paper presents a multi-objective portfolio model with the expected return as a performance measure and the expected worst-case return as a risk measure. The problems are formulated as a triple-objective mixed integer program. One of the problem objectives is to allocate the wealth on different securities to optimize the portfolio return. The portfolio approach has allowed the two popular in financial engineering percentile measures of risk, value-at-risk (VaR) and conditional valueat-risk (CVaR) to be applied. The decision maker can assess the value of portfolio return and the risk level, and can decide how to invest in a real life situation comparing with ideal (optimal) portfolio solutions. The concave efficient frontiers illustrate the trade-off between the conditional value-at-risk and the expected return of the portfolio. Numerical examples based on historical daily input data from the Warsaw Stock Exchange are presented and selected computational results are provided. The computational experiments show that the proposed solution approach provides the decision maker with a simple tool for evaluating the relationship between the expected and the worst-case portfolio return.
Electricity markets are nowadays flooded with uncertainties that rise from renewable energy applications, technological development, and fossil fuel prices fluctuation, among others. These aspects result in a lumpy electricity prices for consumers, making it necessary to come up with risk management tools to help them hedge this associated risk. In this work a portfolio optimization applied to electricity sector, is proposed. A mixed integer programming model is presented to characterize the electricity portfolio of large consumers. The energy sources available for the portfolio characterization are the day-ahead spot market, forward contracts, and self-generation. The study novelty highlights the energy portfolio characterization for players denoted as large consumers, which has been overlooked by the scientific community and, focuses on the Iberian electricity market as a real case study. A multi-objective methodology is explored, using a weighted-sum approach. The expected cost and the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) minimization are used as objective function. Three case studies illustrate the model applicability through the characterization of how the portfolio evolves with different demand profiles and how to take advantage from seasonality characteristic in the spot market. A scenario analysis is explored to reflect the uncertainty on the price of the spot market. The expected cost and CVaR are optimized for each case study and the portfolio analysis for each risk posture is characterized. The results illustrate the advantage to reduce costs and risk if the prices seasonality is considered, triggering to an adaptive seasonal behavior, which support the decision-maker decision towards its goals.
This research develops an original algorithm for rich portfolio optimization (ARPO), considering more realistic constraints than those usually analyzed in the literature. Using a matheuristic framework that combines an iterated local search metaheuristic with quadratic programming, ARPO efficiently deals with complex variants of the mean-variance portfolio optimization problem, including the well-known cardinality and quantity constraints. ARPO proceeds in two steps. First, a feasible initial solution is constructed by allocating portfolio weights according to the individual return rate. Secondly, an iterated local search framework, which makes use of quadratic programming, gradually improves the initial solution throughout an iterative combination of a perturbation stage and a local search stage. According to the experimental results obtained, ARPO is very competitive when compared against existing state-of-the-art approaches, both in terms of the quality of the best solution generated as well as in terms of the computational times required to obtain it. Furthermore, we also show that our algorithm can be used to solve variants of the portfolio optimization problem, in which inputs (individual asset returns, variances and covariances) feature a random component. Notably, the results are similar to the benchmark constrained efficient frontier with deterministic inputs, if variances and covariances of individual asset returns comprise a random component. Finally, a sensitivity analysis has been carried out to test the stability of our algorithm against small variations in the input data.
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