The solar minimum between solar cycles 23 and 24 during the period 2007–2009 has been the longest and deepest one at least since for the last 100 years. We suggest that the Sun is going to his next supercenturial minimum. The main aim of this paper is to tell about arguments concerning this statement. They are based on series of studies, which have been provided during the period since 1997 up to 2010. The progress of solar cycle 24 since its minimum at the end of 2008 up to the end of October 2011 in the light of long term solar activity dynamics is analyzed.
In the present study a time series analysis of three of the most well-known Sun activity data series is made: 1) the Hoyt-Schatten (Group Sunspot Number $\mbox{\textit{Rg}}$)(Hoyt & Schatten 1988); 2) the Schove and 3) the Greenland (Dye-3 ice probe) ‘cosmogenic’ $^{10}Be$ concentration series (Schove 1983, Beer et al. 1998). The series “1” is based on instrumental observations for the last $\sim$400 years. The series “2” is a reconstruction of all Schwabe-Wolf cycle magnitudes after AD 296 by use of historical reports mainly for auroras and naked-eye visible sunspots. The series “3” is an indicator for the processes in outer solar corona and interplanetary space for the epoch AD 1423–1985. Two independent methods for time series analysis are used: 1) the $T$-$R$ periodogramm analysis (Komitov, 1986); 2) the method of Kaftan (2002).To search for other articles by the author(s) go to:
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