An increased circulating level of fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF23) is an independent risk factor for mortality, cardiovascular disease, and progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD), but its role in transplant allograft and patient survival is unknown. We tested the hypothesis that increased FGF23 is an independent risk factor for all-cause mortality and allograft loss in a prospective cohort of 984 stable kidney transplant recipients. At enrollment, estimated GFR (eGFR) was 51 Ϯ 21 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 and median C-terminal FGF23 was 28 RU/ml (interquartile range, 20 to 43 RU/ml). Higher FGF23 levels independently associated with increased risk of the composite outcome of all-cause mortality and allograft loss (full model hazard ratio: 1.46 per SD increase in logFGF23, 95% confidence interval: 1.28 to 1.68, P Ͻ 0.001). The results were similar for each component of the composite outcome and in all sensitivity analyses, including prespecified analyses of patients with baseline eGFR of 30 to 90 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 . In contrast, other measures of phosphorus metabolism, including serum phosphate and parathyroid hormone (PTH) levels, did not consistently associate with outcomes. We conclude that a high (or elevated) FGF23 is an independent risk factor for death and allograft loss in kidney transplant recipients.

Higher body mass index (BMI) appears paradoxically associated with better outcomes in patients with chronic kidney disease. Whereas higher BMI reflects both increased visceral and subcutaneous fat and/or muscle mass, a combined assessment of BMI and waist circumference may enable differentiation of visceral adiposity from muscle and/or nonvisceral fat mass. We examined the association of BMI and waist circumference with all-cause mortality in a prospective cohort of 993 kidney transplant recipients. Associations were examined in Cox models with adjustment for demographic and comorbid conditions and for inflammatory markers. Unadjusted death hazard ratios (95%CI) associated with one standard deviation higher BMI and waist circumference were 0.94 (0.78, 1.13), p = 0.5 and 1.20 (1.00, 1.45), p = 0.05, respectively. Higher BMI was associated with lower mortality after adjustment for waist circumference (0.48 [0.34, 0.69], p < 0.001), and higher waist circumference was more strongly associated with higher mortality after adjustment for BMI (2.18 [1.55-3.08], p < 0.001). The associations of waist circumference with mortality remained significant after additional multivariable adjustments. Higher BMI and waist circumference display opposite associations with mortality in kidney transplant recipients. Waist circumference appears to be a better prognostic marker for obesity than BMI.

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Our results confirm that MIS reflects both energy-protein wasting and inflammation in kidney transplant recipients. This simple instrument appears to be a useful tool to assess the presence of protein-energy wasting in this patient population.

The MIS is independently associated with PTA in the kidney-transplanted population with eGFR lower than or equal to 60 mL/min/1.73 m(2).