The aim of this article is to study the well-posedness and properties of a fast-slow system which is related with brain lactate kinetics. In particular, we prove the existence and uniqueness of nonnegative solutions and obtain linear stability results. We also give numerical simulations with different values of the small parameter ε and compare them with experimental data.2010 Mathematics Subject Classification. 34A34, 35B09, 35Q92.

Alzheimer's disease (AD) is a neuro-degenerative disease affecting more than 46 million people worldwide in 2015. AD is in part caused by the accumulation of A[Formula: see text] peptides inside the brain. These can aggregate to form insoluble oligomers or fibrils. Oligomers have the capacity to interact with neurons via membrane receptors such as prion proteins ([Formula: see text]). This interaction leads [Formula: see text] to be misfolded in oligomeric prion proteins ([Formula: see text]), transmitting a death signal to neurons. In the present work, we aim to describe the dynamics of A[Formula: see text] assemblies and the accumulation of toxic oligomeric species in the brain, by bringing together the fibrillation pathway of A[Formula: see text] peptides in one hand, and in the other hand A[Formula: see text] oligomerization process and their interaction with cellular prions, which has been reported to be involved in a cell-death signal transduction. The model is based on Becker-Döring equations for the polymerization process, with delayed differential equations accounting for structural rearrangement of the different reactants. We analyse the well-posedness of the model and show existence, uniqueness and non-negativity of solutions. Moreover, we demonstrate that this model admits a non-trivial steady state, which is found to be globally stable thanks to a Lyapunov function. We finally present numerical simulations and discuss the impact of model parameters on the whole dynamics, which could constitute the main targets for pharmaceutical industry.

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Mechanistic models are built using knowledge as the primary information source, with well-established biological and physical laws determining the causal relationships within the model. Once the causal structure of the model is determined, parameters must be defined in order to accurately reproduce relevant data. Determining parameters and their values is particularly challenging in the case of models of pathophysiology, for which data for calibration is sparse. Multiple data sources might be required, and data may not be in a uniform or desirable format. We describe a calibration strategy to address the challenges of scarcity and heterogeneity of calibration data. Our strategy focuses on parameters whose initial values cannot be easily derived from the literature, and our goal is to determine the values of these parameters via calibration with constraints set by relevant data. When combined with a covariance matrix adaptation evolution strategy (CMA-ES), this step-by-step approach can be applied to a wide range of biological models. We describe a stepwise, integrative and iterative approach to multiscale mechanistic model calibration, and provide an example of calibrating a pathophysiological lung adenocarcinoma model. Using the approach described here we illustrate the successful calibration of a complex knowledge-based mechanistic model using only the limited heterogeneous datasets publicly available in the literature.

Over the past several decades, metrics have been defined to assess the quality of various types of models and to compare their performance depending on their capacity to explain the variance found in real-life data. However, available validation methods are mostly designed for statistical regressions rather than for mechanistic models. To our knowledge, in the latter case, there are no consensus standards, for instance for the validation of predictions against real-world data given the variability and uncertainty of the data. In this work, we focus on the prediction of time-to-event curves using as an application example a mechanistic model of non-small cell lung cancer. We designed four empirical methods to assess both model performance and reliability of predictions: two methods based on bootstrapped versions of parametric statistical tests: log-rank and combined weighted log-ranks (MaxCombo); and two methods based on bootstrapped prediction intervals, referred to here as raw coverage and the juncture metric. We also introduced the notion of observation time uncertainty to take into consideration the real life delay between the moment when an event happens, and the moment when it is observed and reported. We highlight the advantages and disadvantages of these methods according to their application context. With this work, we stress the importance of making judicious choices for a metric with the objective of validating a given model and its predictions within a specific context of use. We also show how the reliability of the results depends both on the metric and on the statistical comparisons, and that the conditions of application and the type of available information need to be taken into account to choose the best validation strategy.

Mechanistic models are built using knowledge as the primary information source, with well-established biological and physical laws determining the causal relationships within the model. Once the causal structure of the model is determined, parameters must be defined in order to accurately reproduce relevant data. Determining parameters and their values is particularly challenging in the case of models of pathophysiology, for which data for calibration is sparse. Multiple data sources might be required, and data may not be in a uniform or desirable format. We describe a calibration strategy to overcome the challenges of scarcity and heterogeneity of calibration data. Our strategy focuses on parameters where initial values cannot be easily derived from the literature and where final values are estimated via calibration with constraints set by relevant data. When combined with a covariance matrix adaptation evolution strategy (CMA-ES), this step-by-step approach can be applied to a wide range of biological models. We describe a stepwise, integrative and iterative approach to multiscale mechanistic model calibration, and provide an example of calibrating a pathophysiological lung adenocarcinoma model. Using the approach described here we illustrate the successful calibration of a complex knowledge-based mechanistic model using only the limited heterogeneous datasets publicly available in the literature.

Our aim in this article is not to provide a review of the existing literature but to make a critical analysis on glioma behavior mathematical modeling. We present here mathematical modeling history, interests, modalities and limitations on the study of glioma growth. We also make a point on model consideration according to glioma comportments. We finally introduce medical imaging coupled with in silico models as the next step in glioma research. We do not claim completeness of the bibliography but we tried to cover a large amount of mathematical considerations for glioma behavior illustrated with selected representative papers.

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