The city of São Carlos, state of São Paulo, Brazil, has a historical coexistence between society and floods. Unplanned urbanization in this area is a representative feature of how Brazilian cities have developed, undermining the impact of natural hazards. The Gregório Creek catchment is an enigma of complex dynamics concerning the relationship between humans and water in Brazilian cities. Our hypothesis is that social memory of floods can improve future resilience.In this paper we analyse flood risk dynamics in a small urban catchment, identify the impacts of social memory on building resilience and propose measures to reduce the risk of floods. We applied a socio-hydrological model using data collected from newspapers from 1940 to 2018. The model was able to elucidate human-water processes in the catchment and the historical source data proved to be a useful tool to fill gaps in the data in small urban basins.
RESUMO A exploração indiscriminada de água subterrânea pode causar o colapso dos aquíferos costeiros. Nesse escopo, este trabalho avaliou o comportamento da cunha salina em parte do sistema Barreiras/Marituba, que fica na costa da região metropolitana de Maceió (AL), fazendo uso de modelagem e índices hidrogeoquímicos. O modelo foi calibrado tanto para o fluxo subterrâneo como para a concentração de sólidos totais dissolvidos, nos quais atingiu coeficiente de correlação de 0,764 e 0,682, respectivamente. Foram analisados dois cenários distintos, que permitiram verificar o efeito da explotação de água subterrânea na cunha salina para uma projeção de dez anos. O primeiro considerou a explotação existente até 2015, sem acréscimos de bombeamentos. Como resultado, verificou-se o avanço da cunha salina em duas áreas do domínio e outra área sofreu recuo, além da formação de cones com ascensão vertical da água do mar. No segundo cenário, foram adicionadas, além das licenças de obras hídricas já existentes, como poços, a hipótese de instalação de 36 novos poços de bombeamento, considerando o crescimento da cidade. Porém, nesse caso, não foi possível visualizar variações significativas na zona de mescla em relação ao primeiro cenário. A análise dos índices hidrogeoquímicos apontou para maiores concentrações de cloretos na região próxima à linha do Oceano Atlântico, com pouca influência do nitrato e, no geral, indicou a existência de intrusão de água do mar.
Cities must develop actions that reduce flood risk in the face of extreme rainfall events. In this study, the dynamic resilience of the Gregorio catchment (São Carlos, Brazil) was assessed. The catchment lacks environmental monitoring and suffers from recurrent floods. The resilience curves were made considering the water depth in the drainage system as the performance index, obtained by simulations with SWMM and HEC-RAS. The calibration of the flood extension was performed using citizen science data. The contribution to increasing the dynamic resilience by implementing decentralized low impact development (LID) practices was also evaluated. For this purpose, bioretention cells were added to the SWMM simulations. The resilience curves were then calculated for the current and future climate scenario, with and without LID, for return periods of 5, 10, 50, and 100 years and duration of 30, 60, and 120 min. Intensity–duration–frequency curves (IDFs) updated by the regional climate model MIROC5 for 2050 and 2100 were used. The results showed a significant improvement in the system’s resilience for light storms and the current period due to LID practice interventions. Efficiencies were reduced for moderate and heavy storms with no significant drops in floodwater depth and resilience regardless of the scenario.
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