This article aims to produce regional laws that are responsive in supporting the implementation of regional autonomy so that the implementation of regional autonomy does not create new problems that can hinder or damage economic development and growth in a region. In this study, several legal approaches used include the main approach of Law number 32 of 2004 concerning regional autonomy and Law number 12 of 2011 concerning the law on the establishment of legislation. Another approach approached in one case is a historical approach, a comparative approach, and a conceptual approach. Results illuminate how the drafting of Perda constitutes based on certain principals (i.e. clarity of objectives, appropriate institutional or organ formation, compatibility between types and material content) can accommodate local wisdom for the community and avoid potentially problematic regulations in the regions.
Pemilihan Umum Kepala Daerah sebagai kompetisi elektoral tidak lepas dari ancaman politik uang dan pola relasi yang terbangun. Studi ini berupaya mengekplorasi pola relasi klientalistik dalam lingkungan sosial-budaya masyarakat Riau dan mengidentifikasi besaran politik uang yang diterima pemilih dalam Pemilukada. Hal ini penting mengingat tidak ada parameter yang terukur dalam menghitung biaya riil yang dikeluarkan kandidat dalam Pemilukada. Padahal pengukuran terhadap besaran biaya riil yang diterima pemilih sesungguhnya dapat membantu dalam memetakan potensi korupsi dan relasi klientelistik yang terjadi antara kandidat dan pemilih. Hasil studi menunjukkan bahwa faktor sosiokultural memainkan peranan penting dalam pemilukada di Riau. Studi ini juga menemukan bahwa terdapat tiga jenis relasi klientalistik yang terbangun yakni relasi berbasis etnisitas, relasi berbasis makelar, dan relasi berbasis pelayanan konstituen. Hasil studi juga menunjukkan adanya indikasi politik uang yang kuat dalam Pemilukada Riau 2018.
This paper aims to explain Turkey's border security policy in dealing with non-state actors in Northern Syria. Turkey's policy was carried out after five years of involvement in the Syrian crisis and one month after a failed coup attempt. This study uses the theory of securitization by Buzan that explains the existence of threat and vulnerability factors faced by the state in anarchic international structures. The research method used in this study is a qualitative method with the type of causality analysis. This paper found that threats and vulnerabilities pushed Turkey to launch a series of military operations as border security policies to rid North Syria of ISIS and PKK/PYD/YPG militias to control the adverse effects caused by the presence of non-state actors such as civilian and military casualties, property damage, as well as instability and disintegration. The border security policy confirms the increasingly important role of Turkey in the region while demonstrating Turkey's consistency in pursuing national security interests even outside its territory
This paper aims to find the impact of outgoing president support to the winning probability of its endorsed candidate in presidential election, and predicts the winning probability of Jokowi’s endorsed candidate in Indonesia 2024 presidential election. By generalizing Obama, Vazquez, Uribe, SBY, Bachelet, Lula, and Duterte’s cases it is found that president candidates who endorsed by outgoing presidents with at least 50% public approval have 71% chance to winning the presidential election and 29% chance to lose, and with the public approval over 85% the probability is increase to 100%. The endorsed candidates who wins the election mostly were the minister of outgoing president whose contribute to the high approval ratings. Meanwhile, in the case of lost candidates the unfirm support from outgoing presiden and the candidate who already had been president with 28% approval ratings found as the causes. Through this generalization it is predicted that if Jokowi able to maintain his public approval rating at least 50%, and endorse one of his success ministers whom also come from the same party then in the 2024 Indonesia’s president election this candidate possibly will be the winner with 71% chance, also if his approval ratings reaching out over 85% the chance will be 100%.
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