The hydrological state of a hillslope prior to a sprinkling‐induced shallow landslide was monitored using electrical resistivity tomography (ERT) along a 47 m long transect, supplemented by local time‐domain reflectometry (TDR) and tensiometer measurements. The spatial and temporal evolution of wetting patterns in the soil material indicated attainment of a stationary fully saturated profile in a slope region underlain by shallow sandstone bedrock. The significant decrease in spatially averaged standard deviation of water saturation has not been observed during an earlier failed attempt to trigger a landslide by intense sprinkling. While for the “stable” experiment (no landslide was triggered) water saturation and soil moisture variability were still increasing with time, the “unstable” experiment reached a time‐invariant state of high pore water pressures and saturations, until it finally failed. The results indicate that when large and interconnected regions of hillslope are saturated (as confirmed by high volumetric water content and low standard deviation of water saturation), additional water cannot be redistributed to empty drier regions and may eventually enhance local pore water pressure and seepage force, initiating large shear deformation and failure. Accordingly, a transition to such a critical steady state of high average water saturation, associated with low and constant spatial standard deviation, may serve as additional hydro‐geophysical indicator for the imminence of a landslide release.

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The behaviour of natural and artificial slopes is controlled by their thermo-hydro-mechanical conditions and by soil–vegetation–atmosphere interaction. Porewater pressure changes within a slope related to variable meteorological settings have been shown to be able to induce soil erosion, shrinkage–swelling and cracking, thus leading to an overall decrease of the available soil strength with depth and, ultimately, to a progressive slope collapse. In terms of numerical modelling, the stability analysis of partially saturated slopes is a complex problem and a wide range of approaches from simple limit equilibrium solutions to advanced numerical analyses have been proposed in the literature. The more advanced approaches, although more rigorous, require input data such as the soil water retention curve and the hydraulic conductivity function, which are difficult to obtain in some cases. The quantification of the effects of future climate scenarios represents an additional challenge in forecasting slope–atmosphere interaction processes. This paper presents a review of real and ideal case histories regarding the numerical analysis of natural and artificial slopes subjected to different types of climatic perturbations. The limits and benefits of the different numerical approaches adopted are discussed and some general modelling recommendations are addressed.Peer ReviewedPostprint (published version