We studied the risk of early loss of pregnancy by collecting daily urine specimens from 221 healthy women who were attempting to conceive. Urinary concentrations of human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG) were measured for a total of 707 menstrual cycles with use of an immunoradiometric assay that is able to detect hCG levels as low as 0.01 ng per milliliter, with virtually 100 percent specificity for hCG in the presence of luteinizing hormone. Our criterion for early pregnancy--an hCG level above 0.025 ng per milliliter on three consecutive days--was determined after we compared the hCG levels in the study group with the levels in a comparable group of 28 women who had undergone sterilization by tubal ligation. We identified 198 pregnancies by an increase in the hCG level near the expected time of implantation. Of these, 22 percent ended before pregnancy was detected clinically. Most of these early pregnancy losses would not have been detectable by the less sensitive assays for hCG used in earlier studies. The total rate of pregnancy loss after implantation, including clinically recognized spontaneous abortions, was 31 percent. Most of the 40 women with unrecognized early pregnancy losses had normal fertility, since 95 percent of them subsequently became clinically pregnant within two years.

Epigenetic modifications, including DNA methylation, represent a potential mechanism for environmental impacts on human disease. Maternal smoking in pregnancy remains an important public health problem that impacts child health in a myriad of ways and has potential lifelong consequences. The mechanisms are largely unknown, but epigenetics most likely plays a role. We formed the Pregnancy And Childhood Epigenetics (PACE) consortium and meta-analyzed, across 13 cohorts (n = 6,685), the association between maternal smoking in pregnancy and newborn blood DNA methylation at over 450,000 CpG sites (CpGs) by using the Illumina 450K BeadChip. Over 6,000 CpGs were differentially methylated in relation to maternal smoking at genome-wide statistical significance (false discovery rate, 5%), including 2,965 CpGs corresponding to 2,017 genes not previously related to smoking and methylation in either newborns or adults. Several genes are relevant to diseases that can be caused by maternal smoking (e.g., orofacial clefts and asthma) or adult smoking (e.g., certain cancers). A number of differentially methylated CpGs were associated with gene expression. We observed enrichment in pathways and processes critical to development. In older children (5 cohorts, n = 3,187), 100% of CpGs gave at least nominal levels of significance, far more than expected by chance (p value < 2.2 × 10(-16)). Results were robust to different normalization methods used across studies and cell type adjustment. In this large scale meta-analysis of methylation data, we identified numerous loci involved in response to maternal smoking in pregnancy with persistence into later childhood and provide insights into mechanisms underlying effects of this important exposure.

Case-parent trios were used in a genome wide association study of cleft lip with/without cleft palate (CL/P). SNPs near two genes not previously associated with CL/P [MAFB: most significant SNP rs13041247, with odds ratio per minor allele OR=0.704; 95%CI=0.635,0.778; p=2.05*10 −11 ; and ABCA4: most significant SNP rs560426, with OR=1.432; 95%CI=1.292,1.587; p=5.70*10 −12 ] and two previously identified regions (chr. 8q24 and IRF6) attained genome wide significance. Stratifying trios into European and Asian ancestry groups revealed differences in statistical significance, although estimated effect sizes were similar. Replication studies from several populations showed confirming evidence, with families of European ancestry giving stronger evidence for markers in 8q24 while Asian families showed stronger evidence for MAFB and ABCA4. Expression studies support a role for MAFB in palate development.Corresponding author: THB (tbeaty@jhsph.edu). NIH Public Access Author ManuscriptNat Genet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2010 September 17. Published in final edited form as:Nat Genet. 2010 June ; 42(6): 525-529. doi:10.1038/ng.580. NIH-PA Author ManuscriptNIH-PA Author Manuscript NIH-PA Author ManuscriptCleft lip with or without cleft palate (CL/P) is a common human birth defect with documented genetic and environmental risk factors 1 . While CL/P can occur in many Mendelian malformation syndromes, the isolated, non-syndromic form constitutes 70% of all cases2. Evidence for genetic control of CL/P is compelling: recurrence risks are 20-30 times greater than population prevalences3 , 4 and both twin and family studies 5 suggest a major role for genes, Mutations in IRF6 cause VanderWoude syndrome, the most common Mendelian syndrome including CL/P, and markers in IRF6 have repeatedly shown evidence of association with isolated, non-syndromic CL/P 6-9 . An allele disrupting an AP2 binding site near IRF6 showed particularly strong evidence among European CL families, although multiple risk alleles are likely 10 .Birnbaum et al. 11 conducted a case-control genome wide association study (GWAS) in Germany and found significant evidence of association with markers in 8q24.21, and a US case-control GWAS confirmed this region 12 , with rs987525 being the most significant marker in both studies. Here we present a GWAS using a case-parent trio design in a consortium drawing cases from Europe, the US, China, Taiwan, Singapore, Korea and the Philippines. This design has the advantage of being robust to confounding due to population stratification, which is important when cases from diverse populations are combined. ResultsBecause these case-parent trios came from different populations (Table 1), we conducted a principal components analysis (PCA) on all parents to document genetic variation in our consortium (Supplementary Figure 1). Approximately 50% of parents could be classified as Asian and 45% as European, with remaining parents being of African or "other" ancestry (including mixed). Transmission disequilibrium tests...

Birthweight is one of the most accessible and most misunderstood variables in epidemiology. A baby's weight at birth is strongly associated with mortality risk during the first year and, to a lesser degree, with developmental problems in childhood and the risk of various diseases in adulthood. Epidemiological analyses often regard birthweight as on the causal pathway to these health outcomes. Under this assumption of causality, birthweight is used to explain variations in infant mortality and later morbidity, and is also used as an intermediate health endpoint in itself. Evidence presented here suggests the link between birthweight and health outcomes may not be causal. Methods of analysis that assume causality are unreliable at best, and biased at worst. The category of 'low birthweight' in particular is uninformative and seldom justified. The main utility of the birthweight distribution is to provide an estimate of the proportion of small preterm births in a population (although even this requires special analytical methods). While the ordinary approaches to birthweight are not well grounded, the links between birthweight and a range of health outcomes may nonetheless reflect the workings of biological mechanisms with implications for human health.

We describe a log-linear method for analysis of case-parent-triad data, based on maximum likelihood with stratification on parental mating type. The method leads to estimates of association parameters, such as relative risks, for a single allele, and also to likelihood ratio chi2 tests (LRTs) of linkage disequilibrium. Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium need not be assumed. Our simulations suggest that the LRT has power similar to that of the chi2 "score" test proposed by Schaid and Sommer and that both can outperform the transmission/disequilibrium test (TDT), although the TDT can perform better under an additive model of inheritance. Because a restricted version of the LRT is asymptotically equivalent to the TDT, the proposed test can be regarded as a generalization of the TDT. The method that we describe generalizes easily to accommodate maternal effects on risk and, in fact, produces powerful and orthogonal tests of the contribution of fetal versus maternal genetic factors. We further generalize the model to allow for effects of parental imprinting. Imprinting effects can be fitted by a simple, iterative procedure that relies on the expectation-maximization algorithm and that uses standard statistical software for the maximization steps. Simulations reveal that LRT tests for detection of imprinting have very good operating characteristics. When a single allele is under study, the proposed method can yield powerful tests for detection of linkage disequilibrium and is applicable to a broader array of causal scenarios than is the TDT.

Previously we have shown that nonsyndromic cleft lip with or without cleft palate (NSCL/P)1, is strongly associated with SNPs in Interferon Regulatory Factor 6 (IRF6)2. Here, multispecies sequence comparisons identify a common SNP (rs642961, G>A) in a novel IRF6 enhancer. The A allele is significantly overtransmitted (P=1×10−11) in families with NSCL/P, in particular with cleft lip (CL) but not cleft palate. Further, there is a dosage effect of the A allele, with the relative risk for CL 1.68 for the AG genotype and 2.40 for the AA genotype. EMSA and ChIP assays demonstrate that the risk allele disrupts the binding site of transcription factor AP-2α and expression analysis in the mouse localizes the enhancer activity to craniofacial and limb structures. Our findings place IRF6 and AP-2α in the same developmental pathway and identify a high frequency variant in a regulatory element contributing substantially to a common, complex disorder.

Among healthy women trying to conceive, nearly all pregnancies can be attributed to intercourse during a six-day period ending on the day of ovulation. For practical purposes, the timing of sexual intercourse in relation to ovulation has no influence on the sex of the baby.

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