Highlights
Increased agricultural investments alone will not achieve SDG2 in Africa; complementary non-ag investments will be needed.
Climate change could lead to 16 million more people at risk of hunger compared to a scenario without climate change.
Investment in agriculture can more than compensate for the negative effects of climate change.
Enhanced agricultural R&D can reduce the prevalence of hunger by 55 million people in Africa.
Multi-model ensemble used to more holistically assess cost and benefits of increased agricultural investments in Africa.
This chapter uses a non-parametric Malmquist index to measure agricultural TFP growth in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). The estimates show a flat or declining productivity from the 1960s to the early 1980s followed by moderate TFP growth since then. This recovery in agricultural productivity growth is attributed to the structural adjustment reforms that were implemented in a number of SSA countries beginning around this time and continuing into the 1990s.
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