Considering the complexities and challenges in the classification of multiclass and imbalanced fault conditions, this study explores the systematic combination of unsupervised and supervised learning by hybridising clustering (CLUST) and optimised multi-layer perceptron neural network with grey wolf algorithm (GWO-MLP). The hybrid technique was meticulously examined on a historical hydraulic system dataset by first, extracting and selecting the most significant statistical time-domain features. The selected features were then grouped into distinct clusters allowing for reduced computational complexity through a comparative study of four different and frequently used categories of unsupervised clustering algorithms in fault classification. The Synthetic Minority Over Sampling Technique (SMOTE) was then employed to balance the classes of the training samples from the various clusters which then served as inputs for training the supervised GWO-MLP. To validate the proposed hybrid technique (CLUST-SMOTE-GWO-MLP), it was compared with its distinct modifications (variants). The superiority of CLUST-SMOTE-GWO-MLP is demonstrated by outperforming all the distinct modifications in terms of test accuracy and seven other statistical performance evaluation metrics (error rate, sensitivity, specificity, precision, F score, Mathews Correlation Coefficient and geometric mean). The overall analysis indicates that the proposed CLUST-SMOTE-GWO-MLP is efficient and can be used to classify multiclass and imbalanced fault conditions. Article Highlights The issue of multiclass and imbalanced class outputs is addressed for improving predictive maintenance. A multiclass fault classifier based on clustering and optimised multi-layer perceptron with grey wolf is proposed. The robustness and feasibility of the proposed technique is validated on a complex hydraulic system dataset.
Data recorded from monitoring the health condition of industrial equipment are often high-dimensional, nonlinear, nonstationary and characterised by high levels of uncertainty. These factors limit the efficiency of machine learning techniques to produce desirable results when developing effective fault classification frameworks. This paper sought to propose a hybrid artificial intelligent predictive maintenance model based on Improved Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise (ICEEMDAN), Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Least Squares Support Vector Machine (LSSVM) optimised by the combination of Coupled Simulated Annealing and Nelder-Mead Simplex optimisation algorithms (ICEEMDAN-PCA-LSSVM). Here, ICEEMDAN was first employed as a denoising technique to decompose signals into series of Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs) of which only relevant IMFs containing the relevant fault features were retained for signal reconstruction. PCA was then employed as a dimension reduction technique through which the resulting set of uncorrelated features extracted served as input for LSSVM for classifying various fault types. The proposed technique is compared with three established methods (Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA), Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN)) with multiclass classification capabilities. The various techniques were tested on an experimental UCI machine learning benchmark data obtained from multi-sensors of a hydraulic test rig. The results from the analysis revealed that the proposed ICEEMDAN-PCA-LSSVM technique is versatile and outperformed all the compared classifiers in terms of accuracy, error rate and other evaluation metrics considered. The proposed hybrid technique drastically reduced the redundancies and the dimension of features, allowing for the efficient consideration of relevant features for the enhancement of classification accuracy and convergence speed.
With the rising demand for integrated and autonomous systems in the field of engineering, efficient frameworks for instant detection of performance anomalies are imperative for improved productivity and cost-effectiveness. This study proposes a systematic predictive maintenance framework based on the hybrid multisensor fusion technique of fuzzy rough set feature selection and stacked ensemble for the efficient classification of fault conditions characterised by uncertainties. First, a feature vector of time-domain features was extracted from 17 multiple sensor signals. Then, a comparative study of six different Fuzzy Rough Set Feature Selection (FRFS) methods was employed to select the various combinations of optimal feature subsets for various faults classification tasks. The determined optimal feature subsets then served as inputs for training the stacked ensemble (ESB(STK)). In the ESB(STK), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), k -Nearest Neighbour ( k -NN), C4.5 Decision Tree (C4.5 DT), Logistic Regression (LR), and Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA) served as the base classifiers while the LR was selected to be the metaclassifier. The proposed hybrid framework (FRFS-ESB(STK)) improved the classification accuracy with the selected combinations of optimal feature subset size whiles reducing the computational cost, overfitting, training runtime, and uncertainty in modelling. Overall analyses showed that the FRFS-ESB(STK) proved to be generalisable and versatile in the classification of all conditions of four monitored hydraulic components (i.e., cooler, valve, accumulator, and internal pump leakage) when compared with the six base classifiers (standalone) and three existing ensemble classifiers (Stochastic Gradient Boosting (SGB), Ada Boost (ADB), and Bagging (BAG)). The proposed FRFS-ESB(STK) showed an average improvement of 11.28% and 0.88% test accuracies when classifying accumulator and pump conditions, respectively, whiles 100% classification rates were obtained for both cooler and valve.
Data recorded from monitoring the health condition of industrial equipment are often high-dimensional, nonlinear, nonstationary and characterised by high levels of uncertainty. These factors limit the efficiency of machine learning techniques to produce desirable results when developing effective fault classification frameworks. This paper sought to propose a hybrid artificial intelligent predictive maintenance model based on Improved Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise (ICEEMDAN), Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Least Squares Support Vector Machine (LSSVM) optimised by the combination of Coupled Simulated Annealing and Nelder-Mead Simplex optimisation algorithms (ICEEMDAN-PCA-LSSVM). Here, ICEEMDAN was first employed as a denoising technique to decompose signals into series of Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs) of which only relevant IMFs containing the relevant fault features were retained for signal reconstruction. PCA was then employed as a dimension reduction technique through which the resulting set of uncorrelated features extracted served as input for LSSVM for classifying various fault types. The proposed technique is compared with three established methods (Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA), Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN)) with multiclass classification capabilities. The various techniques were tested on an experimental UCI machine learning benchmark data obtained from multi-sensors of a hydraulic test rig. The results from the analysis revealed that the proposed ICEEMDAN-PCA-LSSVM technique is versatile and outperformed all the compared classifiers in terms of accuracy, error rate and other evaluation metrics considered. The proposed hybrid technique drastically reduced the redundancies and the dimension of features, allowing for the efficient consideration of relevant features for the enhancement of classification accuracy and convergence speed.
The change in climatic conditions and its catastrophic effect on mining activities has become a source of worry for mining industries and therefore needs due attention. This study examined the effect some climate factors have on gold production in Ghana. First, a direct Multiple Linear Regression was applied on the climate factors with the aim of determining the relative effect of each factor on gold production which exhibited a time series structure. The consequence is that, the estimates of the coefficients and their standard errors will be wrongly estimated if the time series structure of the errors is ignored. In order to eliminate these deficiencies and better understand the effect of these climate factors on gold production, regression with ARIMA errors technique was employed after its appropriateness has been tested. The model was then compared in terms of prediction accuracy which resulted a MAPE of 9.78%. It was concluded that, gold production in Ghana is positively related to Temperature whilst negatively to Rainfall and Precipitate. It was recommended that mine operators in Ghana could base on this analysis to optimise their production planning and scheduling. Keywords: Gold Production, Climate, Multicollinearity, VIF, Regression Models with ARIMA Errors
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