Barrett's esophagus (Be) is the only known precursor to esophageal adenocarcinoma (eAc). Methods of identifying Be patients at high risk for progression to high-grade dysplasia (HGD) or eAc are needed to improve outcomes and identify who will benefit most from intensive surveillance or ablative therapy. clinical predictors of Be progression to HGD or eAc are poorly understood, with multiple contradictory studies. We performed a retrospective study which included 460 patients at Johns Hopkins Hospital who underwent at least 2 upper endoscopies 6 months apart showing biopsy-documented BE between 1992 and 2013. Patients with EAC or HGD at the initial endoscopy were excluded. Demographic, clinicopathological, and endoscopic data were collected. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards analyses with time to progression to HGD and EAC were performed. Among 460 patients included in the study, 132 BE patients developed HGD and 62 developed EAC. Significant EAC risk factors included age, abdominal obesity, caffeine intake, and the presence of HGD. Risk factors for HGD or EAC included age, caffeine intake, and low-grade dysplasia while colonic adenomas trended towards significance. Notably, a history of statin or SSRI usage reduced the risk of EAC or HGD by 49% or 61%, respectively. Our study validated several known and identified several novel risk factors, including a history of colonic adenomas or caffeine usage. Low-grade dysplasia was a risk factor for progression but various endoscopic characteristics were not, suggesting that screening strategies should focus on histology instead. We identified SSRIs as a new potentially chemoprotective medication. The incidence of esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) has increased rapidly in the USA and other nations, but unfortunately, most cases are detected very late, with a fatality rate of 90% 1. Barrett's esophagus (BE), the only known precursor for EAC, can progress to low-grade dysplasia (LGD), high-grade dysplasia (HGD), or ultimately EAC. BE is defined as salmon-colored mucosa extending ≥1 cm proximal to the gastroesophageal (GE) junction, with biopsy confirmation of replacement of normal squamous epithelium by metaplastic intestinal-type columnar epithelium 1. Endoscopic surveillance is currently accepted for all patients with BE, as BE surveillance carries an improved prognosis 2. Although BE patients have an eleven-fold higher risk of EAC than the general population, their annual risk of this malignancy is 0.11% 3. These observations have generated controversy regarding cancer screening and surveillance practices. Since most BE patients will not develop EAC, and given the risk and expense of endoscopic surveillance, understanding risk factors for BE progression is important to effectively focus resources on high-risk BE patients, allowing patient stratification and enabling tailored surveillance and therapy. Predictors of neoplastic progression in BE are incompletely understood. Epidemiologic risk factors considered include male gender, age, white race, obesity ...