A B S T R A C T Greenhouse gas emissions have significantly altered global climate, and will continue to do so in the future. Increases in the frequency, duration, and/or severity of drought and heat stress associated with climate change could fundamentally alter the composition, structure, and biogeography of forests in many regions. Of particular concern are potential increases in tree mortality associated with climateinduced physiological stress and interactions with other climate-mediated processes such as insect outbreaks and wildfire. Despite this risk, existing projections of tree mortality are based on models that lack functionally realistic mortality mechanisms, and there has been no attempt to track observations of climate-driven tree mortality globally. Here we present the first global assessment of recent tree mortality attributed to drought and heat stress. Although episodic mortality occurs in the absence of climate change, studies compiled here suggest that at least some of the world's forested ecosystems already may be responding to climate change and raise concern that forests may become increasingly vulnerable to higher background tree mortality rates and die-off in response to future warming and drought, even in environments that are not normally considered water-limited. This further suggests risks to ecosystem services, including the loss of sequestered forest carbon and associated atmospheric feedbacks. Our review also identifies key information gaps and scientific uncertainties that currently hinder our ability to predict tree mortality in response to climate change and emphasizes the need for a globally coordinated observation system. Overall, our review reveals the potential for amplified tree mortality due to drought and heat in forests worldwide.Published by Elsevier B.V.

Increased frequency and intensity of drought episodes as a consequence of current and predicted climatic changes require an understanding of the intra-specific variability in structural and physiological characteristics of forest trees. Adaptive plasticity and genotypic variability are considered two of the main processes by which trees can either be selected or can acclimate to changing conditions. We tested for the relative importance of genotypic variability, phenotypic plasticity and their interaction by comparing the growth and physiological performance of 15 provenances of Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.), under two contrasting irrigation regimes. Selected provenances representing the distribution range of the species in Anatolia, Turkey, were contrasted with seed sources spanning the range from Spain to the UK, in Europe. We found a strong latitudinal differentiation among the 15 provenances for survival after drought, largely the result of the higher mortality of some western and central European provenances. Differentiation in diameter and height growth was also clear with the worst provenance coming from Western Europe (UK). Among the Turkish provenances, the more extreme southern high-elevation populations showed greater survival and lower growth rates overall. Differences in growth and survival were related to differences in photosynthetic pigment and nutrient contents and in the photosynthetic efficiency of photosystem II. Plasticity was strongest for growth characters and pigment contents.

Turkish red pine (Pinus brutia Ten.), is the most important tree species for afforestation in the Mediterranean basin due to its drought tolerance and fast growth rate. Cold damage to trees caused by harsh winter conditions is common on many sites in Turkey. Adaptation to climate change has been investigated primarily through the movement of species from warmer and drier climates, such as the Mediterranean P. brutia, to higher latitudes and cooler sites in central-north Turkey. In order to better guide species and provenances movement to new (and often harsh) environments for afforestation, the limits of tolerance to cold and drought should be better known. Thus, we designed an experiment to quantify the cold hardiness of nine P. brutia provenances originating from two different provenance trials in Turkey (Ankara, cold inner site; Antalya, warm Mediterranean site). Branches sampled at the end of January were exposed to cold temperatures between − 5 and − 40 °C. Visual damage observation, relative electric leakage and chlorophyll fluorometry (CF) screening methods were used to assess variation in cold hardiness among populations. Overall, P. brutia can tolerate winter temperatures up to − 16 °C. Even though there were significant differences on cold hardiness among populations, the operational application is limited due to the reduced magnitude of those differences. Measuring CF was the fastest and most easily replicated method to estimate cold hardiness and was as reliable as REL. We recommend that P. brutia should not be planted in cold areas where minimum annual temperatures are under − 16 °C. We also conclude that even though phenotypic plasticity exists for cold hardiness among the tested populations of P. brutia, the observed differences resulted from acclimation to the conditions of the provenance trial sites rather than from adaptation through natural selection.

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The effects of water stress on some growth and chlorophyll a fluorescence parameters were investigated in two native black poplar (Populus nigra L.) clones (Kocabey and Gazi) and in two hybrid poplar (Populus × euramericana (Dode) Guinier) clones (I-214 and I-45/51) to determine which among the four clones is the best adapted to water-stress conditions. The potted seedlings were grown under three watering regimes. As a result of the applied watering regimes, the predawn water potential (ψ pd ) of seedlings was maintained at about -0.3, -0.9, and -1.6 MPa in control, moderate, and severe water-stress treatments during the experiment, respectively. Drought treatment had significant effects on the morphology and growth characteristics of the clones but had generally insignificant effects on survival and the photochemical activity of photosystem II (PSII). Results obtained from the present study demonstrate that I-214 was the most successful in terms of its higher root/shoot ratio (R s ), maximum fluorescence yield (F m ), maximum quantum efficiency of PSII (F v /F m ) values, and lower number of leaves among the examined four poplar clones under drought stress conditions. Consequently, the I-214 poplar clone may have the potential to be used in drought areas.