The paper studies the dynamics of a full delay-logistic population model incorporated with a proportionate harvesting function. The study discusses the stability of the model in comparison with the well-known Hutchinson logistic growth equation with harvesting function using the rate of harvesting as a bifurcation parameter to determine sustainable harvesting rate even at a bigger time delay of
τ
=
3.00
. In all cases, the Hutchinson equation with harvesting was forced to converge to equilibrium using an additional and a different time delay parameter, a deficiency previous researchers have failed to address when the Hutchinson model is used for this purpose. The population fluctuations are catered for with this model making the estimated maximum sustainable growth and harvest reflect realities as this model drastically reduces time-delay associated oscillations compared to the well-known Hutchinson delayed logistic models. The numerical simulations were be done using the MatLab Software.
In this paper, a deterministic mathematical model for the transmission and control of malaria is formulated. The main innovation in the model is that, in addition to the natural death rate of the vector (mosquito), a proportion of the prevention efforts also contributes to a reduction of the mosquito population. The motivation for the model is that in a closed environment, an optimal combination of the percentage of susceptible people needed to implement the preventative strategies
α
and the percentage of infected people needed to seek treatment can reduce both the number of infected humans and infected mosquito populations and eventually eliminate the disease from the community. Prevention effort
α
was found to be the most sensitive parameter in the reduction of
ℛ
0
. Hence, numerical simulations were performed using different values of
α
to determine an optimal value of
α
that reduces the incidence rate fastest. It was discovered that an optimal combination that reduces the incidence rate fastest comes from about
40
%
of adherence to the preventive strategies coupled with about
40
%
of infected humans seeking clinical treatment, as this will reduce the infected human and vector populations considerably.
The techniques and methods that help to obtain necessary and sufficient conditions to determine the local stability of linearized systems are paramount. In this paper, a corollary of the Gershgorin’s circle theorem was used to establish the local stability of different epidemic models with three or more states including, a Tuberculosis model, an SEIRS model, vector-host model and a-Staged HIV/AIDS Model. It was observed that no matter the state or the dimension of the system or matrix, this corollary can be used to analyse the local stability for both disease-free and endemic equilibria, by establishing that when R0 < 1, the Jacobian matrix evaluated at the disease free equilibrium will have negative eigenvalues or negative real part eigenvalues. Thus, the disease-free equilibrium is stable but when R0 > 1, the Jacobian matrix evaluated at the endemic equilibrium will have negative eigenvalues or negative real part eigenvalues making the endemic equilibrium is stable.
The paper uses a new technique to find a unique solution to a delay differential cobweb model (formulated from a joint supply-demand function of price) with real model parameters via the Lambert W-function without considering any complex branches. The dynamics of the model are demonstrated with simulations and found to complement previous studies using literature values. However, the condition for instability
δ
/
β
>
1
in the previous studies was defied by our model due to the time delay associated with the supply function. The practical application and advantage of this model over the existing models are that the stability of this model is not limited to only the ratio of price elasticity of demand and supply but also the time-delay parameter (i.e., a missing link in the previous models). Our model, on the other hand, loses its stability when the time delay associated with the supply function is fixed at
τ
=
1.8
. Since most of the physical systems, including economical systems, are time-delay inherent and such stability conditionalities should not limit their performance, it is recommended that such systems be modelled using delay differential functions. The novelty of this research is that there has not been a definite general solution to the cobweb model with a time delay whose price dynamics mimic the behaviour of the existing cobweb models in the literature. An illustrative example in a delayed fractional-order differential equation also buttressed the importance of the time delay in the model, aside from the impact of the ratio of the price elasticity of supply and demand.
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