Background The ability to predict transfusions arising during hospital admission might enable economized blood supply management and might furthermore increase patient safety by ensuring a sufficient stock of red blood cells (RBCs) for a specific patient. We therefore investigated the precision of four different machine learning–based prediction algorithms to predict transfusion, massive transfusion, and the number of transfusions in patients admitted to a hospital. Study Design and Methods This was a retrospective, observational study in three adult tertiary care hospitals in Western Australia between January 2008 and June 2017. Primary outcome measures for the classification tasks were the area under the curve for the receiver operating characteristics curve, the F1 score, and the average precision of the four machine learning algorithms used: neural networks (NNs), logistic regression (LR), random forests (RFs), and gradient boosting (GB) trees. Results Using our four predictive models, transfusion of at least 1 unit of RBCs could be predicted rather accurately (sensitivity for NN, LR, RF, and GB: 0.898, 0.894, 0.584, and 0.872, respectively; specificity: 0.958, 0.966, 0.964, 0.965). Using the four methods for prediction of massive transfusion was less successful (sensitivity for NN, LR, RF, and GB: 0.780, 0.721, 0.002, and 0.797, respectively; specificity: 0.994, 0.995, 0.993, 0.995). As a consequence, prediction of the total number of packed RBCs transfused was also rather inaccurate. Conclusion This study demonstrates that the necessity for intrahospital transfusion can be forecasted reliably, however the amount of RBC units transfused during a hospital stay is more difficult to predict.
Objectives/Hypothesis The purpose of the study was to compare the prevalence of vocal fold pathologies among first‐year singing students from the classical, musical theatre, and contemporary commercial music (CCM) genres. Study Design Prospective cohort study. Methods Videostroboscopic examinations were rated by blinded expert raters. Vocal pathology was defined as a vocal fold abnormality on the membranous or cartilaginous portions of the vocal folds or hypomobility. Consensus among three of four raters confirmed presence of pathology. Association between genre of singer and presence of pathology, interrater reliability, and intrarater reliability were calculated. Differences in singing voice handicap, and voice use and vocal hygiene were compared. Results Fifty‐seven participants were included. Seventeen percent of CCM, 40% of musical theatre, and 0% of classical singers were found to have vocal fold pathology. Interrater reliability was 0.522 between all four raters, 0.591 between the two laryngologists, and 0.581 between the two speech–language pathologists, showing a moderate agreement (P < .0001). Intrarater reliability was 1.000 (P < .0001) for the two laryngologists and 0.452 (P = .949) and 0.622 (P = .828) for the two speech–language pathologists. Singing Voice Handicap Index‐10 data across genre showed differences between CCM and classical singers. No significant differences were found in voice usage or vocal hygiene. Conclusions No classical students were found to have vocal fold pathology, whereas CCM and musical theatre students had significantly higher prevalence of pathologies. Voice use, vocal hygiene, and physiologic phonatory differences among classical, musical theatre, and CCM genres may be risk factors for development of vocal pathology. Level of Evidence 2b Laryngoscope, 130: 1996–2002, 2020
Objective: The present study aimed to vocally assess a group of rock singers who use growl voice and reinforced falsetto. Method: A group of 21 rock singers and a control group of 18 pop singers were included. Singing and speaking voice was assessed through acoustic, perceptual, functional and laryngoscopic analysis. Results: No significant differences were observed between groups in most of the analyses. Acoustic and perceptual analysis of the experimental group demonstrated normality of speaking voice. Endoscopic evaluation showed that most rock singers presented during singing voice a high vertical laryngeal position, pharyngeal compression and laryngeal supraglottic compression. Supraglottic activity during speaking voice tasks was also observed. However, overall vocal fold integrity was demonstrated in most of the participants. Slightly abnormal observations were demonstrated in few of them. Singing voice handicap index revealed that the most affected variable was the physical sphere, followed by the social and emotional spheres. Conclusions: Although growl voice and reinforced falsetto represent laryngeal and pharyngeal hyperfunctional activity, they did not seem to contribute to the presence of any major vocal fold disorder in our subjects. Nevertheless, we cannot rule out the possibility that more evident vocal fold disorders could be found in singers who use these techniques more often and during a longer period of time.
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