Особливості Кліматичних Змін В Україні: Сценарії, Наслідки Для Природи Та Агроекосистем

Boychenko, Svitlana; Voloshchuk, V. M.; Movchan, Yaroslav; Serdjuchenko, Nadiia; Tkachenko, Vasyl; Tyshchenko, Oksana; Savchenko, Serhij

doi:10.18372/2306-1472.69.11061

Cited by 28 publications

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“…However, more significant warming is observed in the second half of the 20 th century and at the beginning of the 21 st century [Boychenko et al, 2016]. So, the annual temperature increased by 1.6 ± 0.4 °Ñ per 100 years for the period 19002015.…”

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confidence: 98%

“…Taking into account the established tendencies of the transformation of the climatic fields of annual surface temperature and annual sums of precipitation in the territory of Ukraine for the 20 th century [Voloshchuk, Boychenko, 2003] and the possible scenarios of future global climate changes (RCP4.5 (∆T ∼ 2.0 °Ñ) and RCP8.5 (∆T ∼ 4.0 °Ñ)) [Climate ..., 2013], the regional scenarios of the possible climate changes to 2050 were developed, namely [Boychenko et al, 2016]:…”

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confidence: 99%

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Long-time changes of the thermal continentality index; the amplitudes and the phase of the seasonal temperature variation in Ukraine

Boychenko

Voloshchuk

Kuchma

et al. 2018

Geofizicheskiy Zhurnal

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Ïðîàíàë³çîâàíî îñîáëèâîñò³ ïðîñòîðîâî-÷àñîâèõ âàð³àö³é ³íäåêñ³â êîíòèíåí-òàëüíîñò³ Gorczynsky òà JohansonRingleb, à òàêîae àìïë³òóäè òà ôàçè ñåçîííèõ âàð³àö³é òåìïåðàòóðè íà òåðèòîð³¿ Óêðà¿íè â óìîâàõ ãëîáàëüíîãî ïîòåïë³ííÿ. Äëÿ àíàë³çó âèêîðèñòàíî äîâãîñòðîêîâ³ åìï³ðè÷í³ äàí³ (ñåðåäíüîì³ñÿ÷íà òåìïåðàòóðà), ùî îòðèìàí³ íà ìåðåae³ ìåòåîðîëîã³÷íèõ ñòàíö³é Óêðà¿íè, ÿê³ ð³âíî-ì³ðíî ðîçòàøîâàí³ íà ð³âíèíí³é òåðèòîð³¿ Óêðà¿íè (ç âèñîòîþ íàä ð³âíåì ìîðÿ íå á³ëüø ÿê 350 ì) çà ïåð³îä 19002017 ðð. Çì³íè àìïë³òóäè òà ôàçè ñåçîííèõ âàð³àö³é òåìïåðàòóðè äîñë³äaeåíî çà äîïîìîãîþ àíàë³çó Ôóðº. Âñòàíîâëåíî, ùî íà ôîí³ çàãàëüíîãî çíèaeåííÿ çíà÷åíü ³íäåêñ³â êîíòèíåíòàëüíîñò³ êë³ìàòó íà òåðèòîð³¿ Óêðà¿íè çà ïåð³îä 19002017 ðð. (÷åðåç çíà÷íå ïîòåïë³ííÿ â õîëîäíèé ïåð³îä ðîêó ), ñïîñòåð³ãàºòüñÿ òåíäåíö³ÿ ¿õ çðîñòàííÿ ( K G íà 6 % çà 100 ðîê³â ³ K JR íà 4 % çà 100 ðîê³â) çà ïåð³îä 19702017 ðð. (÷åðåç ï³äâèùåííÿ òåìïåðàòóðè â òåïëèé ñåçîí, îñîáëèâî â òðàâí³ñåðïí³). Àìïë³òóäà òåìïåðàòóðè â XX ñò. ³ íà ïî÷àòêó XXI ñò. çìåíøèëàñÿ íà 0,5 ± 0,2 °Ñ çà 100 ðîê³â, à çà ïåð³îä 1970 2017ðð. ³íòåíñèâíî ï³äâèùèëàñÿ íà 1,1 ± 0,6 °Ñ çà 100 ðîê³â. ²ñíóº äåÿêà òåíäåí-ö³ÿ äî çì³ùåííÿ ôàçè ñåçîííèõ êîëèâàíü òåìïåðàòóðè, ï³ä âïëèâîì çì³í êë³ìàòó. Òàê, öÿ ôàçà çì³ñòèëàñÿ íà 1,9 ± 1,1 äí³ ó ï³çí³ø³ ñåçîíè â ö³ëîìó äëÿ òåðèòî-ð³¿ Óêðà¿íè.Êëþ÷îâ³ ñëîâà: çì³íà êë³ìàòó, êë³ìàò Óêðà¿íè, òåðì³÷íèé ³íäåêñ êîíòèíåí-òàëüíîñò³, àìïë³òóäà ³ ôàçà ñåçîííèõ âàð³àö³é òåìïåðàòóðè.

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mentioning

confidence: 98%

mentioning

confidence: 99%

Long-time changes of the thermal continentality index; the amplitudes and the phase of the seasonal temperature variation in Ukraine

Boychenko

Voloshchuk

Kuchma

et al. 2018

Geofizicheskiy Zhurnal

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Substantiated evidence shows that the global average temperature has increased by 0.90 ± 0.05°C since mid-1950 and will increase by another 1-3°C by the end of this century (Hansen et al 2010;Rohde 2013). The analysis of data for Ukraine for last 100-130 years showed the annual temperature increase by 0.6±0.2ºС/100 years which is approximately coincided with a level of global warming (Boychenko et al 2016). However, this indicator is readily apparent only over a large time interval.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 97%

“…In Ukraine the decrease of amplitude of a seasonal course of temperature by ~0.4-0.5ºС was detected. The significant warming in the cold period of year and for spring was revealed but there was no significant warming for summer months (Boychenko et al 2016). In the context of the significant fluctuations in environment which is characterized in general by the climate change concepts (Füssel & Klein 2006), the impact of annual mean temperature rise on the living organisms is difficult to reveal on the relatively short time series (Walther et al 2002;Parmesan & Yohe 2003).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 98%

Effects of temperature patterns on the spawining phenology and niche overlap of fish assemblages in the water bodies of the Dnipro River basin

et al. 2019

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The effect of the temperature on the spawining phenology of the fish assemblages and the role of the exogenious and endogenious factors in temporal niche overlaping of fish assemblages were investigated in different water body types of the Dnipro River basin within the “Dnipro-Orilskiy" Nature Reserve (Ukraine in the years 1997-2018. The period of spawning (beginning and end) of the Blicca bjoerkna, Carassius gibelio, Scardinius erythrophthalmus, Abramis brama, Perca fluviatilis, Rutilus rutilus, and Esox lucius was estimated. Community niche overlap was estimated by calculating the pairwise Pianka index. The temperature was discused as an exogenous factor effecting on the fishes spawn timing. From 1998 to 2018 the average temperature in the study area continued to rise. The annual course of the temperature takes the sinusoidal waveform, which can be described by a fourth-degree polynomial. The residuals of the corresponding polynomial trend are specific for each year. The regular components of the residuals variation were revealed by dbMEM-variables. Fishes spawning occurred within the narrow water temperature ranges, which are specific for each fish species. There are statistically significant differences between ponds in water temperatures at which the spawning start occurred. The water temperature at which the spawning start occurred is linearly dependent on the time of the spawning start. There were temporal overlaps between spawning of the different species. The deviation of the Pianka mean niche overlap indexes from random alternatives does not depend on the habitat type. The decreasing trend of the Pianka mean niche overlap indexes was observed during the study period. There is no statistically significant correlation between the average annual air temperature and the level of the niche overlap. The degree of niche overlapping depends on broad-, medium-, and fine-scale temperature patterns.

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“…temperature fluctuations: serious warming in the cold season of the year to 0.4 ± 0.1 °С / 100 years. Recent decades have been marked by the increase in frequency and duration of summer heat (abnormally high temperatures above 30 °C) followed by an important decrease in precipitation)[Boychenko, 2016].Let us conduct general analysis of weakness of Ukraine's natural and economic systems (NES) for climate change.Climate change undoubtedly affects different fields of national economy, but it is worth noting the ambiguity of these impacts in various areas.Agriculture. On the one hand, there is an improvement in climatic conditions (temperature increase in the cold season, decrease in the number of frosty days, increase in the duration of the growing season, etc.…”

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confidence: 99%

Natural And Economic System: Management In Conditions Of Climate Changes

2019

MIND Journal

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It is proved in the study that united territorial communities (UTC) can be considered as a complex natural and economic nonlinear, dynamic system capable for self-governance. It is proved that quantitative measurement of equilibrium is economic efficiency-Pareto efficiency, which requires optimal resources allocation among market players for production, taking into account their scarcity and limited products with their unlimited consumption. It is found out that management of internal opportunities and external impact interconnections creates the background for UTCs sustainable development. The main infrastructural components of UTCs sustainable development are economic, environmental and social ones. It is shown that the economic component of sustainable development is supported by the current mechanism of UTCs financial resources formation, which ensures stability and self-sufficiency of territorial communities. From the ecological component standpoint, sustainable development should ensure the integrity of biological and physical natural

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Особливості Кліматичних Змін В Україні: Сценарії, Наслідки Для Природи Та Агроекосистем

Cited by 28 publications

References 0 publications

Long-time changes of the thermal continentality index; the amplitudes and the phase of the seasonal temperature variation in Ukraine

Long-time changes of the thermal continentality index; the amplitudes and the phase of the seasonal temperature variation in Ukraine

Effects of temperature patterns on the spawining phenology and niche overlap of fish assemblages in the water bodies of the Dnipro River basin

Natural And Economic System: Management In Conditions Of Climate Changes

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