“…Woody plants generally experience a reduction in forcing (or thermal time) with increased chilling (Cannell and Smith, 1983, 1986; Murray et al, 1989) but the magnitude of the effect differs with species. In addition, since each location has its own climate and species (or genotypes) differ in their chilling requirements, the effects of warming may advance or retard budburst (or result in atypical development) depending on how the winter environment satisfies the plant's chilling requirement (Chandler et al, 1937; Weinberger, 1967; Cannell and Smith, 1983, 1986). More recent studies have also developed or used existing models of dormancy to predict future timing of bud burst associated with climate change (c.f., Murray et al, 1994; Cumming and Burton, 1996; Schwartz and Hanes, 2010).…”