Winners and losers from climate change in agriculture: Insights from a case study in the Mediterranean basin

Dono, Gabriele; Cortignani, Raffaele; Dell’Unto, Davide; Deligios, Paola A.; Doro, Luca; Lacetera, Nicola; Mula, Laura; Pasqui, Massimiliano; Quaresima, Sara; Vitali, Andrea; Roggero, Pier Paolo

doi:10.1016/j.agsy.2016.05.013

Cited by 54 publications

(33 citation statements)

References 53 publications

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“…However, in this study higher yields were predicted in autumn, winter and spring due to a combined effect of higher temperatures and CO 2 levels, leading to an overall increase in productivity. In line with this, Dono et al (2016), modelling productivity of semi-natural grasslands dominated by self-reseeding annual species (no summer production) in the near future (2020)(2021)(2022)(2023)(2024)(2025)(2026)(2027)(2028)(2029)(2030) in Sardinia, Italy, predicted decreased spring yields and higher autumn yields due to increased temperature and increased rainfall occurrence in October. In the same study, irrigated annual ryegrass crops were predicted to have increased yields in the near future.…”

Section: Forage Dry Matter Productivitymentioning

confidence: 72%

How can forage production in Nordic and Mediterranean Europe adapt to the challenges and opportunities arising from climate change?

Ergon

Seddaiu

Korhonen

et al. 2018

European Journal of Agronomy

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Climate change and its eﬀects on grassland productivity vary across Europe. The Mediterranean and Nordic regions represent the opposite ends of a gradient of changes in temperature and precipitation patterns, with increasingly warmer and wetter winters in the north and increasingly warmer and drier summers in the south. Warming and elevated concentration of atmospheric CO2 may boost forage production in the Nordic region. Production in many Mediterranean areas is likely to become even more challenged by drought in the future, but elevated CO2 can to some extent alleviate drought limitation on photosynthesis and growth. In both regions, climate change will aﬀect forage quality and lead to modiﬁcations of the annual productivity cycles, with an extended growing season in the Nordic region and a shift towards winter in the Mediterranean region. This will require adaptations in defoliation and fertilization strategies. The identity of species and mixtures with optimal performance is likelyto shift somewhat inresponse to altered climate and management systems. Itis argued that breeding of grassland species should aimto (i) improve plantstrategies to cope with relevant abiotic stresses and (ii) optimize growth and phenology to new seasonal variation, and that plant diversity at all levels is a good adaptation strategy

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Section: Forage Dry Matter Productivitymentioning

confidence: 72%

How can forage production in Nordic and Mediterranean Europe adapt to the challenges and opportunities arising from climate change?

Ergon

Seddaiu

Korhonen

et al. 2018

European Journal of Agronomy

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“…The cultivar coefficients of the crops for DSSAT were estimated with the Genetic Coefficient Estimator [46] based on long-term data obtained from private farms. The coefficients of species and ecotype were left unchanged [47].…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Finally, the impact of CC in altering crop irrigation requirements and production yields in the near-future scenario was assessed by transforming the 150 occurrences generated by the crop models into probability distribution functions, which produced the inputs for a Discrete Stochastic Programming (DSP) economic model [47]. The DSP model used is described in Appendix A.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Perceptions of Present and Future Climate Change Impacts on Water Availability for Agricultural Systems in the Western Mediterranean Region

Nguyen

Mula

Cortignani

et al. 2016

Water

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Many Mediterranean countries have experienced water shortages during the last 20 years and future climate change projections foresee further pressure on water resources. This will have significant implications for irrigation water management in agricultural systems in the future. Through qualitative and quantitative empirical research methods carried out on a case study on four Mediterranean farming systems located in Oristano, Italy, we sought to understand the relationship between farmers' perceptions of climate change (i.e., increased temperature and decreased precipitation) and of present and future water availability for agriculture as forecasted by climatic and crop models. We also explored asymmetries between farmers' perceptions and present and future climate change and water scenarios as well as factors influencing perceptions. Our hypotheses were that farmers' perceptions are the main drivers of actual water management practices and that sustainable practices can emerge from learning spaces designed from the understanding of the gaps between perceptions and scientific evidences. Results showed that most farmers perceived that climate change is occurring or will occur in their area. They also perceived that there has been an increased temperature trend, but also increased precipitation. Therefore, they are convinced that they have and will have enough irrigation water for agriculture in the near future, while climate change projections foresee an increasing pressure on water resources in the Mediterranean region. Such results suggest the need for (i) irrigation management policies that take into account farmers' perceptions in order to promote virtuous behaviors and improve irrigation water use efficiency; (ii) new, well-designed learning spaces to improve the understanding on climate change expectations in the near future in order to support effective adaptive responses at the farm and catchment scales.

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“…Restrictions were imposed on animal effluent management, which forced farmers to build manure containers, which resulted in increased costs for dairy farmers already facing a multi-year crisis of milk prices, feedstuff, and mineral fertilizers. In this scenario, the crisis is intensified by climate change, which not only undermines farmers' knowledge of climate prediction, but also threatens cow mortality, fertility, and productivity, as well as crop production and the spread of diseases due to increasingly frequent summer heat waves [37].…”

Section: The Context Of La Rasgionimentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The farmers, in fact, did not perceive their role in the un-sustainability of the system management, or did not feel that the issue affected their own livelihood. A participatory action research process started in 2008 [21][22][23][24][25][26][27][28][29][30][31][32][33][34][35][36][37] and involved interdisciplinary teams composed of agronomists, economists, animal scientists, meteorologists, and social scientists. This research pathway was able to consolidate a long-term trust relationship between researchers and local stakeholders [38][39][40][41][42] and revealed asymmetries between the effective cooperation among livestock farmers and the fragmentation of competences and actions among the public institutional actors in the same catchment.…”

Section: The Context Of La Rasgionimentioning

confidence: 99%

Re-Staging La Rasgioni: Lessons Learned from Transforming a Traditional Form of Conflict Resolution to Engage Stakeholders in Agricultural Water Governance

Ruiu

Maurizi

Sassu

et al. 2017

Water

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This paper presents an informal process inspired by a public practice of conflict mediation used until a few decades ago in Gallura (NE Sardinia, Italy), named La Rasgioni (The Reason). The aim is twofold: (i) to introduce an innovative method that translates the complexity of water-related conflicts into a "dialogical tool", aimed at enhancing social learning by adopting theatrical techniques; and (ii) to report the outcomes that emerged from the application of this method in Arborea, the main dairy cattle district and the only nitrate-vulnerable zone in Sardinia, to mediate contrasting positions between local entrepreneurs and representatives of the relevant institutions. We discuss our results in the light of four pillars, adopted as research lenses in the International research Project CADWAGO (Climate Change Adaptation and Water Governance), which consider the specific "social-ecological" components of the Arborea system, climate change adaptability in water governance institutions and organizations, systemic governance (relational) practices, and governance learning. The combination of the four CADWAGO pillars and La Rasgioni created an innovative dialogical space that enabled stakeholders and researchers to collectively identify barriers and opportunities for effective governance practices. Potential wider implications and applications of La Rasgioni process are also discussed in the paper.

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Winners and losers from climate change in agriculture: Insights from a case study in the Mediterranean basin

Cited by 54 publications

References 53 publications

How can forage production in Nordic and Mediterranean Europe adapt to the challenges and opportunities arising from climate change?

How can forage production in Nordic and Mediterranean Europe adapt to the challenges and opportunities arising from climate change?

Perceptions of Present and Future Climate Change Impacts on Water Availability for Agricultural Systems in the Western Mediterranean Region

Re-Staging La Rasgioni: Lessons Learned from Transforming a Traditional Form of Conflict Resolution to Engage Stakeholders in Agricultural Water Governance

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